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First Pitch Outcome Picks: Friday, June 19, 2026 | MLB Edge

edgely.bet June 19, 2026
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First Pitch Outcome Picks: Friday, June 19, 2026

June 18 Results: Strike Picks: 4/5 | Ball Picks: 1/3 | In Play Picks: 2/5 (1 fouled)

❌ George Springer - Strike / ✅ Mickey Gasper - Ball / ✅ Christian Yelich - Strike / ✅ Trevor Larnach - In Play / ✅ Joc Pederson - Strike / ❌ J.P. Crawford - In Play / ✅ Carson Benge - Strike / ✅ Trea Turner - Strike / ❌ Chase Meidroth - In Play / ❌ Casey Schmitt - Ball / ❌ JJ Wetherholt - Ball / ❌ Lane Thomas - In Play / ✅ Zach Neto - In Play

See full track record →

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Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks

Our highest-conviction plays from today's 14-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.

First Pitch Ball Picks

TOR @ CHC: George Springer vs Ben Brown — 59.1% (fair odds -144) Brown 59.1% ball rate, Springer 34.2% swing tendency

First Pitch In Play Picks

WSH @ TB: Yandy Díaz vs Cade Cavalli — 22.5% (fair odds +345) Díaz 22.5% in-play projection vs Cavalli (96.1 mph 4-Seam Fastball)

PIT @ COL: Jake McCarthy vs Bubba Chandler — 17.3% (fair odds +478) McCarthy 17.3% in-play projection vs Chandler (98.4 mph 4-Seam Fastball)

📍 Lineups are not all confirmed before publishing. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.

🎯 New to this market? Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →

Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections

TOR @ CHC — 2:20 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Ben Brown vs George Springer Projected: First Pitch Ball — 59.1% (fair odds -144)

  • Ben Brown: Zone 40.9%, Ball 59.1%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.5 mph
  • George Springer: Swing 34.2%, In Play 5.0%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Kevin Gausman vs Pete Crow-Armstrong Projected: First Pitch In Play — 14.0% (fair odds +613)

  • Kevin Gausman: Zone 67.3%, Ball 32.7%
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong: Swing 30.8%, In Play 14.0%

CWS @ DET — 6:40 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Erick Fedde vs Kevin McGonigle Projected: First Pitch In Play — 19.3% (fair odds +418)

  • Erick Fedde: Zone 62.5%, Ball 37.5%
  • Kevin McGonigle: Swing 34.5%, In Play 19.3%

CIN @ NYY — 7:05 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Cam Schlittler vs Edwin Arroyo Projected: First Pitch Ball — 46.7% (fair odds +114)

  • Cam Schlittler: Zone 53.3%, Ball 46.7%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 97.2 mph
  • Edwin Arroyo: Swing 50.0%, In Play 9.4%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Rhett Lowder vs Ben Rice Projected: First Pitch Ball — 60.0% (fair odds -150)

  • Rhett Lowder: Zone 40.0%, Ball 60.0%
  • Ben Rice: Swing 25.0%, In Play 4.9%

SF @ MIA — 7:10 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Landen Roupp vs Liam Hicks Projected: First Pitch Strike — 63.9% (fair odds -177)

  • Landen Roupp: Zone 63.9%, Ball 36.1%
  • Liam Hicks: Swing 16.7%, In Play 0.0%

WSH @ TB — 7:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Griffin Jax vs James Wood Projected: First Pitch In Play — 14.8% (fair odds +577)

  • Griffin Jax: Zone 63.6%, Ball 36.4%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.9 mph
  • James Wood: Swing 32.1%, In Play 14.8%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Cade Cavalli vs Yandy Díaz Projected: First Pitch In Play — 22.5% (fair odds +345)

  • Cade Cavalli: Zone 76.0%, Ball 24.0%
  • Yandy Díaz: Swing 36.4%, In Play 22.5%

MIL @ ATL — 7:15 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Jacob Misiorowski vs Drake Baldwin Projected: First Pitch Ball — 60.7% (fair odds -154)

  • Jacob Misiorowski: Zone 39.3%, Ball 60.7%
  • Drake Baldwin: Swing 33.3%, In Play 2.7%

SD @ TEX — 8:05 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Jacob deGrom vs Fernando Tatis Jr. Projected: First Pitch In Play — 23.3% (fair odds +329)

  • Jacob deGrom: Zone 77.3%, Ball 22.7%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 97.0 mph
  • Fernando Tatis Jr.: Swing 37.2%, In Play 23.3%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Randy Vásquez vs Joc Pederson Projected: First Pitch In Play — 13.3% (fair odds +653)

  • Randy Vásquez: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%
  • Joc Pederson: Swing 20.7%, In Play 13.3%

CLE @ HOU — 8:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Tatsuya Imai vs Travis Bazzana Projected: First Pitch Ball — 66.7% (fair odds -200)

  • Tatsuya Imai: Zone 33.3%, Ball 66.7%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.6 mph
  • Travis Bazzana: Swing 22.2%, In Play 10.0%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Tanner Bibee vs Jeremy Peña Projected: First Pitch In Play — 14.5% (fair odds +591)

  • Tanner Bibee: Zone 60.9%, Ball 39.1%
  • Jeremy Peña: Swing 39.2%, In Play 14.5%

STL @ KC — 8:15 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Seth Lugo vs JJ Wetherholt Projected: First Pitch Strike — 64.6% (fair odds -182)

  • Seth Lugo: Zone 80.0%, Ball 20.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 89.4 mph
  • JJ Wetherholt: Swing 30.8%, In Play 15.4%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Michael McGreevy vs Carter Jensen Projected: First Pitch Strike — 59.6% (fair odds -147)

  • Michael McGreevy: Zone 72.4%, Ball 27.6%
  • Carter Jensen: Swing 50.0%, In Play 12.8%

PIT @ COL — 8:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Kyle Freeland vs Nick Gonzales Projected: First Pitch Strike — 66.7% (fair odds -200)

  • Kyle Freeland: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 90.1 mph
  • Nick Gonzales: Swing 14.3%, In Play 0.0%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Bubba Chandler vs Jake McCarthy Projected: First Pitch In Play — 17.3% (fair odds +478)

  • Bubba Chandler: Zone 76.5%, Ball 23.5%
  • Jake McCarthy: Swing 47.4%, In Play 17.3%

LAA @ OAK — 9:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Jeffrey Springs vs Zach Neto Projected: First Pitch Ball — 48.9% (fair odds +104)

  • Jeffrey Springs: Zone 51.1%, Ball 48.9%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.1 mph
  • Zach Neto: Swing 55.0%, In Play 17.7%

MIN @ ARI — 9:45 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Michael Soroka vs Trevor Larnach Projected: First Pitch In Play — 18.3% (fair odds +446)

  • Michael Soroka: Zone 64.5%, Ball 35.5%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.2 mph
  • Trevor Larnach: Swing 39.1%, In Play 18.3%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Connor Prielipp vs Ketel Marte Projected: First Pitch In Play — 20.5% (fair odds +389)

  • Connor Prielipp: Zone 70.0%, Ball 30.0%
  • Ketel Marte: Swing 32.3%, In Play 20.5%

BOS @ SEA — 10:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Bryce Miller vs Mickey Gasper Projected: First Pitch Ball — 46.2% (fair odds +116)

  • Bryce Miller: Zone 53.8%, Ball 46.2%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.8 mph
  • Mickey Gasper: Swing 0.0%, In Play 0.0%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Ranger Suarez vs Cole Young Projected: First Pitch In Play — 16.3% (fair odds +512)

  • Ranger Suarez: Zone 64.1%, Ball 35.9%
  • Cole Young: Swing 37.5%, In Play 16.3%

Live First Inning Data

For real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:

→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)

edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly.

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