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First Pitch Outcome Picks: Saturday, June 13, 2026 | MLB Edge

edgely.bet June 13, 2026

First Pitch Outcome Picks: Saturday, June 13, 2026

June 12 Results: Strike Picks: 2/5 | Ball Picks: 1/5 | In Play Picks: 0/6 (1 fouled)

❌ Liam Hicks - Strike / ❌ Spencer Horwitz - Strike / ❌ Cole Young - In Play / ❌ James Wood - In Play / ❌ Fernando Tatis Jr. - In Play / ❌ Taylor Ward - Ball / ❌ Kevin McGonigle - In Play / ❌ Joc Pederson - Strike / ❌ Ketel Marte - In Play / ❌ Trent Grisham - Ball / ✅ Alex Call - Strike / ✅ Kyle Schwarber - Ball / ❌ Carter Jensen - Ball / ✅ JJ Wetherholt - Strike / ❌ Trevor Larnach - In Play / ❌ Zach Neto - Ball

See full track record →

Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks

Our highest-conviction plays from today's 15-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.

First Pitch Ball Picks

CHC @ SF: Luis Arraez vs Ben Brown — 57.1% (fair odds -133) Brown 57.1% ball rate, Arraez 13.3% swing tendency

First Pitch In Play Picks

NYY @ TOR: Ben Rice vs Kevin Gausman — 17.2% (fair odds +481) Rice 17.2% in-play projection vs Gausman (92.5 mph 4-Seam Fastball)

DET @ CLE: Gleyber Torres vs Joey Cantillo — 27.5% (fair odds +263) Torres 27.5% in-play projection vs Cantillo (90.6 mph 4-Seam Fastball)

📍 Lineups are not all confirmed before publishing. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.

🎯 New to this market? Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →

Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections

STL @ MIN — 2:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Connor Prielipp vs Masyn Winn Projected: First Pitch Strike — 64.1% (fair odds -178)

Connor Prielipp: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.4 mph
Masyn Winn: Swing 28.6%, In Play 2.6%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Matthew Liberatore vs Austin Martin Projected: First Pitch In Play — 15.5% (fair odds +547)

Matthew Liberatore: Zone 69.0%, Ball 31.0%
Austin Martin: Swing 32.0%, In Play 15.5%

NYY @ TOR — 3:07 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Kevin Gausman vs Ben Rice Projected: First Pitch In Play — 17.2% (fair odds +481)

Kevin Gausman: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.5 mph
Ben Rice: Swing 26.1%, In Play 17.2%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Cam Schlittler vs George Springer Projected: First Pitch Ball — 48.3% (fair odds +107)

Cam Schlittler: Zone 51.7%, Ball 48.3%
George Springer: Swing 34.2%, In Play 7.3%

MIA @ PIT — 4:05 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Bubba Chandler vs Liam Hicks Projected: First Pitch In Play — 18.0% (fair odds +455)

Bubba Chandler: Zone 81.2%, Ball 18.8%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 98.4 mph
Liam Hicks: Swing 25.0%, In Play 18.0%

SD @ BAL — 4:05 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Randy Vásquez vs Taylor Ward Projected: First Pitch Strike — 57.8% (fair odds -137)

Randy Vásquez: Zone 68.4%, Ball 31.6%
Taylor Ward: Swing 26.7%, In Play 10.6%

SEA @ WSH — 4:05 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Cade Cavalli vs Cole Young Projected: First Pitch Strike — 63.0% (fair odds -170)

Cade Cavalli: Zone 75.0%, Ball 25.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 96.1 mph
Cole Young: Swing 33.3%, In Play 12.0%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Luis Castillo vs James Wood Projected: First Pitch In Play — 14.7% (fair odds +579)

Luis Castillo: Zone 60.0%, Ball 40.0%
James Wood: Swing 32.5%, In Play 14.7%

LAD @ CWS — 4:10 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Sam Antonacci Projected: First Pitch Strike — 63.6% (fair odds -175)

Yoshinobu Yamamoto: Zone 68.1%, Ball 31.9%
Sam Antonacci: Swing 19.2%, In Play 4.5%

TEX @ BOS — 4:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Ranger Suarez vs Wyatt Langford Projected: First Pitch In Play — 15.8% (fair odds +533)

Ranger Suarez: Zone 65.8%, Ball 34.2%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 90.7 mph
Wyatt Langford: Swing 50.0%, In Play 15.8%

ARI @ CIN — 4:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Rhett Lowder vs Ketel Marte Projected: First Pitch Ball — 66.7% (fair odds -200)

Rhett Lowder: Zone 33.3%, Ball 66.7%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.9 mph
Ketel Marte: Swing 32.6%, In Play 9.1%

DET @ CLE — 4:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Joey Cantillo vs Gleyber Torres Projected: First Pitch In Play — 27.5% (fair odds +263)

Joey Cantillo: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 90.6 mph
Gleyber Torres: Swing 33.3%, In Play 27.5%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Tarik Skubal vs Angel Martínez Projected: First Pitch Strike — 58.6% (fair odds -142)

Tarik Skubal: Zone 65.9%, Ball 34.1%
Angel Martínez: Swing 16.7%, In Play 7.3%

HOU @ KC — 7:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Noah Cameron vs Jose Altuve Projected: First Pitch Ball — 52.8% (fair odds -112)

Noah Cameron: Zone 47.2%, Ball 52.8%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 90.8 mph
Jose Altuve: Swing 49.1%, In Play 13.4%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Mike Burrows vs Carter Jensen Projected: First Pitch Ball — 51.6% (fair odds -107)

Mike Burrows: Zone 48.4%, Ball 51.6%
Carter Jensen: Swing 46.2%, In Play 9.5%

PHI @ MIL — 7:10 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Aaron Nola vs Christian Yelich Projected: First Pitch Strike — 63.3% (fair odds -172)

Aaron Nola: Zone 63.3%, Ball 36.7%
Christian Yelich: Swing 5.3%, In Play 0.0%

COL @ OAK — 10:05 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Kyle Freeland vs Shea Langeliers Projected: First Pitch In Play — 19.1% (fair odds +424)

Kyle Freeland: Zone 65.9%, Ball 34.1%
Shea Langeliers: Swing 42.9%, In Play 19.1%

CHC @ SF — 10:05 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Trevor McDonald vs Pete Crow-Armstrong Projected: First Pitch Strike — 66.6% (fair odds -200)

Trevor McDonald: Zone 77.8%, Ball 22.2%, 1st pitch Sinker 91.4 mph
Pete Crow-Armstrong: Swing 30.4%, In Play 11.2%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Ben Brown vs Luis Arraez Projected: First Pitch Ball — 57.1% (fair odds -133)

Ben Brown: Zone 42.9%, Ball 57.1%
Luis Arraez: Swing 13.3%, In Play 4.3%

TB @ LAA — 10:07 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): José Soriano vs Yandy Díaz Projected: First Pitch Ball — 46.7% (fair odds +114)

José Soriano: Zone 53.3%, Ball 46.7%, 1st pitch Sinker 96.6 mph
Yandy Díaz: Swing 38.5%, In Play 14.9%

Live First Inning Data

For real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:

→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)

edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly.