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  "description": "Today's first pitch outcome picks for June 19, 2026 — top picks, full slate projections, and pitcher tendency data for every game.",
  "path": "/mlb/mlb-first-pitch-june-19-2026/",
  "publishedAt": "2026-06-19T16:22:17.000Z",
  "site": "https://edgely.bet",
  "tags": [
    "See full track record →",
    "Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →",
    "→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)"
  ],
  "textContent": "# First Pitch Outcome Picks: Friday, June 19, 2026\n\n* * *\n\n> **June 18 Results:**\n>  Strike Picks: 4/5 | Ball Picks: 1/3 | In Play Picks: 2/5 (1 fouled)\n>\n> ❌ George Springer - Strike / ✅ Mickey Gasper - Ball / ✅ Christian Yelich - Strike / ✅ Trevor Larnach - In Play / ✅ Joc Pederson - Strike / ❌ J.P. Crawford - In Play / ✅ Carson Benge - Strike / ✅ Trea Turner - Strike / ❌ Chase Meidroth - In Play / ❌ Casey Schmitt - Ball / ❌ JJ Wetherholt - Ball / ❌ Lane Thomas - In Play / ✅ Zach Neto - In Play\n>\n> See full track record →\n\n### Winning Slips 💰\n\nLARN DOG!Neatoooo!\n\n* * *\n\n## Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks\n\nOur highest-conviction plays from today's 14-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.\n\n### First Pitch Ball Picks\n\n> **TOR @ CHC: George Springer vs Ben Brown — 59.1% (fair odds -144)**\n>  Brown 59.1% ball rate, Springer 34.2% swing tendency\n\n### First Pitch In Play Picks\n\n> **WSH @ TB: Yandy Díaz vs Cade Cavalli — 22.5% (fair odds +345)**\n>  Díaz 22.5% in-play projection vs Cavalli (96.1 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n> **PIT @ COL: Jake McCarthy vs Bubba Chandler — 17.3% (fair odds +478)**\n>  McCarthy 17.3% in-play projection vs Chandler (98.4 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n* * *\n\n> 📍 Lineups are not all confirmed before publishing. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.\n\n> 🎯 **New to this market?** Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →\n\n* * *\n\n## Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections\n\n### TOR @ CHC — 2:20 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Ben Brown vs George Springer**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 59.1%** (fair odds -144)\n\n  * Ben Brown: Zone 40.9%, Ball 59.1%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.5 mph\n  * George Springer: Swing 34.2%, In Play 5.0%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Kevin Gausman vs Pete Crow-Armstrong**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 14.0%** (fair odds +613)\n\n  * Kevin Gausman: Zone 67.3%, Ball 32.7%\n  * Pete Crow-Armstrong: Swing 30.8%, In Play 14.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CWS @ DET — 6:40 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Erick Fedde vs Kevin McGonigle**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 19.3%** (fair odds +418)\n\n  * Erick Fedde: Zone 62.5%, Ball 37.5%\n  * Kevin McGonigle: Swing 34.5%, In Play 19.3%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CIN @ NYY — 7:05 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Cam Schlittler vs Edwin Arroyo**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 46.7%** (fair odds +114)\n\n  * Cam Schlittler: Zone 53.3%, Ball 46.7%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 97.2 mph\n  * Edwin Arroyo: Swing 50.0%, In Play 9.4%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Rhett Lowder vs Ben Rice**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 60.0%** (fair odds -150)\n\n  * Rhett Lowder: Zone 40.0%, Ball 60.0%\n  * Ben Rice: Swing 25.0%, In Play 4.9%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### SF @ MIA — 7:10 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Landen Roupp vs Liam Hicks**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 63.9%** (fair odds -177)\n\n  * Landen Roupp: Zone 63.9%, Ball 36.1%\n  * Liam Hicks: Swing 16.7%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### WSH @ TB — 7:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Griffin Jax vs James Wood**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 14.8%** (fair odds +577)\n\n  * Griffin Jax: Zone 63.6%, Ball 36.4%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.9 mph\n  * James Wood: Swing 32.1%, In Play 14.8%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Cade Cavalli vs Yandy Díaz**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 22.5%** (fair odds +345)\n\n  * Cade Cavalli: Zone 76.0%, Ball 24.0%\n  * Yandy Díaz: Swing 36.4%, In Play 22.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### MIL @ ATL — 7:15 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Jacob Misiorowski vs Drake Baldwin**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 60.7%** (fair odds -154)\n\n  * Jacob Misiorowski: Zone 39.3%, Ball 60.7%\n  * Drake Baldwin: Swing 33.3%, In Play 2.7%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### SD @ TEX — 8:05 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Jacob deGrom vs Fernando Tatis Jr.**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 23.3%** (fair odds +329)\n\n  * Jacob deGrom: Zone 77.3%, Ball 22.7%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 97.0 mph\n  * Fernando Tatis Jr.: Swing 37.2%, In Play 23.3%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Randy Vásquez vs Joc Pederson**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 13.3%** (fair odds +653)\n\n  * Randy Vásquez: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%\n  * Joc Pederson: Swing 20.7%, In Play 13.3%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CLE @ HOU — 8:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Tatsuya Imai vs Travis Bazzana**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 66.7%** (fair odds -200)\n\n  * Tatsuya Imai: Zone 33.3%, Ball 66.7%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.6 mph\n  * Travis Bazzana: Swing 22.2%, In Play 10.0%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Tanner Bibee vs Jeremy Peña**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 14.5%** (fair odds +591)\n\n  * Tanner Bibee: Zone 60.9%, Ball 39.1%\n  * Jeremy Peña: Swing 39.2%, In Play 14.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### STL @ KC — 8:15 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Seth Lugo vs JJ Wetherholt**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 64.6%** (fair odds -182)\n\n  * Seth Lugo: Zone 80.0%, Ball 20.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 89.4 mph\n  * JJ Wetherholt: Swing 30.8%, In Play 15.4%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Michael McGreevy vs Carter Jensen**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 59.6%** (fair odds -147)\n\n  * Michael McGreevy: Zone 72.4%, Ball 27.6%\n  * Carter Jensen: Swing 50.0%, In Play 12.8%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### PIT @ COL — 8:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Kyle Freeland vs Nick Gonzales**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 66.7%** (fair odds -200)\n\n  * Kyle Freeland: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 90.1 mph\n  * Nick Gonzales: Swing 14.3%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Bubba Chandler vs Jake McCarthy**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 17.3%** (fair odds +478)\n\n  * Bubba Chandler: Zone 76.5%, Ball 23.5%\n  * Jake McCarthy: Swing 47.4%, In Play 17.3%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### LAA @ OAK — 9:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Jeffrey Springs vs Zach Neto**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 48.9%** (fair odds +104)\n\n  * Jeffrey Springs: Zone 51.1%, Ball 48.9%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.1 mph\n  * Zach Neto: Swing 55.0%, In Play 17.7%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### MIN @ ARI — 9:45 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Michael Soroka vs Trevor Larnach**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 18.3%** (fair odds +446)\n\n  * Michael Soroka: Zone 64.5%, Ball 35.5%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.2 mph\n  * Trevor Larnach: Swing 39.1%, In Play 18.3%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Connor Prielipp vs Ketel Marte**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 20.5%** (fair odds +389)\n\n  * Connor Prielipp: Zone 70.0%, Ball 30.0%\n  * Ketel Marte: Swing 32.3%, In Play 20.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### BOS @ SEA — 10:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Bryce Miller vs Mickey Gasper**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 46.2%** (fair odds +116)\n\n  * Bryce Miller: Zone 53.8%, Ball 46.2%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.8 mph\n  * Mickey Gasper: Swing 0.0%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Ranger Suarez vs Cole Young**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 16.3%** (fair odds +512)\n\n  * Ranger Suarez: Zone 64.1%, Ball 35.9%\n  * Cole Young: Swing 37.5%, In Play 16.3%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n## Live First Inning Data\n\nFor real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:\n\n→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)\n\n* * *\n\n_edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly._",
  "title": "First Pitch Outcome Picks: Friday, June 19, 2026 | MLB Edge",
  "updatedAt": "2026-06-19T16:22:18.428Z"
}