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First Pitch Outcome Picks: Tuesday, June 9, 2026 | MLB Edge

edgely.bet June 9, 2026

First Pitch Outcome Picks: Tuesday, June 9, 2026

June 8 Results: Strike Picks: 3/3 | Ball Picks: 1/3 | In Play Picks: 2/4 (1 fouled)

✅ Taylor Ward - Strike / ✅ Yandy Díaz - In Play / ✅ Trent Grisham - Strike / ✅ Travis Bazzana - Strike / ❌ George Springer - In Play / ❌ Zach Neto - In Play / ❌ Blake Dunn - Ball / ✅ Fernando Tatis Jr. - Ball / ❌ Christian Yelich - Ball / ✅ Shea Langeliers - In Play

See full track record →

Winning Slips 💰

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Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks

Our highest-conviction plays from today's 15-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.

First Pitch Strike Picks

CIN @ SD: Blake Dunn vs Lucas Giolito — 66.7% (fair odds -200) Giolito 66.7% zone, Dunn swings 16.7% of the time

First Pitch Ball Picks

HOU @ LAA: Jeremy Peña vs Walbert Ureña — 77.8% (fair odds -350) Ureña 77.8% ball rate, Peña 39.2% swing tendency

First Pitch In Play Picks

TEX @ KC: Carter Jensen vs Nathan Eovaldi — 20.6% (fair odds +385) Jensen 20.6% in-play projection vs Eovaldi (93.9 mph 4-Seam Fastball)

📍 Lineups are not all confirmed before publishing. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.

🎯 New to this market? Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →

Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections

SEA @ BAL — 6:35 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Trevor Rogers vs J.P. Crawford Projected: First Pitch In Play — 19.5% (fair odds +414)

Trevor Rogers: Zone 62.1%, Ball 37.9%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.6 mph
J.P. Crawford: Swing 40.0%, In Play 19.5%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Logan Gilbert vs Taylor Ward Projected: First Pitch Ball — 50.4% (fair odds -102)

Logan Gilbert: Zone 49.6%, Ball 50.4%
Taylor Ward: Swing 24.4%, In Play 9.3%

BOS @ TB — 6:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Nick Martinez vs Jarren Duran Projected: First Pitch In Play — 14.2% (fair odds +604)

Nick Martinez: Zone 71.1%, Ball 28.9%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.2 mph
Jarren Duran: Swing 26.7%, In Play 14.2%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Payton Tolle vs Yandy Díaz Projected: First Pitch In Play — 19.4% (fair odds +415)

Payton Tolle: Zone 72.7%, Ball 27.3%
Yandy Díaz: Swing 26.8%, In Play 19.4%

MIN @ DET — 6:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Troy Melton vs Trevor Larnach Projected: First Pitch Strike — 59.5% (fair odds -147)

Troy Melton: Zone 75.0%, Ball 25.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 96.2 mph
Trevor Larnach: Swing 42.1%, In Play 15.5%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Taj Bradley vs Kerry Carpenter Projected: First Pitch Ball — 52.6% (fair odds -111)

Taj Bradley: Zone 47.4%, Ball 52.6%
Kerry Carpenter: Swing 39.5%, In Play 4.9%

ARI @ MIA — 6:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Max Meyer vs Ketel Marte Projected: First Pitch In Play — 19.4% (fair odds +414)

Max Meyer: Zone 60.0%, Ball 40.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.5 mph
Ketel Marte: Swing 33.0%, In Play 19.4%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Zac Gallen vs Liam Hicks Projected: First Pitch Ball — 50.0% (fair odds -100)

Zac Gallen: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%
Liam Hicks: Swing 25.0%, In Play 3.7%

PHI @ TOR — 7:07 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Dylan Cease vs Kyle Schwarber Projected: First Pitch Ball — 54.5% (fair odds -120)

Dylan Cease: Zone 45.5%, Ball 54.5%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.9 mph
Kyle Schwarber: Swing 31.6%, In Play 6.0%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Zack Wheeler vs George Springer Projected: First Pitch Strike — 63.6% (fair odds -175)

Zack Wheeler: Zone 71.9%, Ball 28.1%
George Springer: Swing 34.2%, In Play 8.3%

STL @ NYM — 7:10 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Dustin May vs Carson Benge Projected: First Pitch Ball — 48.6% (fair odds +106)

Dustin May: Zone 51.4%, Ball 48.6%
Carson Benge: Swing 19.0%, In Play 4.3%

TEX @ KC — 7:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Stephen Kolek vs Joc Pederson Projected: First Pitch Strike — 61.0% (fair odds -156)

Stephen Kolek: Zone 72.0%, Ball 28.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.3 mph
Joc Pederson: Swing 20.8%, In Play 11.0%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Nathan Eovaldi vs Carter Jensen Projected: First Pitch In Play — 20.6% (fair odds +385)

Nathan Eovaldi: Zone 70.6%, Ball 29.4%
Carter Jensen: Swing 50.0%, In Play 20.6%

ATL @ CWS — 7:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Erick Fedde vs Ronald Acuña Jr. Projected: First Pitch In Play — 15.4% (fair odds +548)

Erick Fedde: Zone 62.5%, Ball 37.5%, 1st pitch Sinker 92.6 mph
Ronald Acuña Jr.: Swing 48.3%, In Play 15.4%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Grant Holmes vs Sam Antonacci Projected: First Pitch Ball — 48.5% (fair odds +106)

Grant Holmes: Zone 51.5%, Ball 48.5%
Sam Antonacci: Swing 20.8%, In Play 3.5%

CHC @ COL — 8:40 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Colin Rea vs Jake McCarthy Projected: First Pitch Strike — 59.2% (fair odds -145)

Colin Rea: Zone 70.3%, Ball 29.7%
Jake McCarthy: Swing 47.1%, In Play 11.1%

HOU @ LAA — 9:38 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Walbert Ureña vs Jeremy Peña Projected: First Pitch Ball — 77.8% (fair odds -350)

Walbert Ureña: Zone 22.2%, Ball 77.8%, 1st pitch Sinker 96.6 mph
Jeremy Peña: Swing 39.2%, In Play 5.4%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Kai-Wei Teng vs Zach Neto Projected: First Pitch In Play — 14.2% (fair odds +605)

Kai-Wei Teng: Zone 61.5%, Ball 38.5%
Zach Neto: Swing 54.5%, In Play 14.2%

CIN @ SD — 9:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Lucas Giolito vs Blake Dunn Projected: First Pitch Strike — 66.7% (fair odds -200)

Lucas Giolito: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.4 mph
Blake Dunn: Swing 16.7%, In Play 0.0%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Chase Burns vs Fernando Tatis Jr. Projected: First Pitch Ball — 50.0% (fair odds -100)

Chase Burns: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%
Fernando Tatis Jr.: Swing 37.4%, In Play 13.9%

WSH @ SF — 9:45 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Adrian Houser vs James Wood Projected: First Pitch In Play — 15.6% (fair odds +540)

Adrian Houser: Zone 63.6%, Ball 36.4%, 1st pitch Sinker 95.0 mph
James Wood: Swing 33.3%, In Play 15.6%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Andrew Alvarez vs Casey Schmitt Projected: First Pitch Ball — 50.0% (fair odds -100)

Andrew Alvarez: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%
Casey Schmitt: Swing 44.4%, In Play 10.0%

MIL @ OAK — 10:05 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): J.T. Ginn vs Christian Yelich Projected: First Pitch Strike — 66.7% (fair odds -200)

J.T. Ginn: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch Sinker 93.4 mph
Christian Yelich: Swing 10.0%, In Play 0.0%

Live First Inning Data

For real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:

→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)

edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly.