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First Pitch Outcome Picks: Friday, June 12, 2026 | MLB Edge

edgely.bet June 12, 2026
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First Pitch Outcome Picks: Friday, June 12, 2026

June 11 Results: Strike Picks: 0/2 | Ball Picks: 1/1 | In Play Picks: 1/4 (0 fouled) ✅ Carson Benge - Ball / ❌ Trevor Larnach - In Play / ✅ Kevin McGonigle - In Play / ❌ Wyatt Langford - In Play / ❌ Pete Crow-Armstrong - In Play / ❌ Edouard Julien - Strike / ❌ Nick Gonzales - Strike

See full track record →

Winning Slips 💰

Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks

Our highest-conviction plays from today's 15-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.

First Pitch Ball Picks

PHI @ MIL: Kyle Schwarber vs Jacob Misiorowski — 59.3% (fair odds -146) Misiorowski 59.3% ball rate, Schwarber 38.1% swing tendency

First Pitch In Play Picks

SD @ BAL: Fernando Tatis Jr. vs Shane Baz — 18.7% (fair odds +435) Jr. 18.7% in-play projection vs Baz (94.7 mph 4-Seam Fastball)

STL @ MIN: Trevor Larnach vs Kyle Leahy — 17.2% (fair odds +481) Larnach 17.2% in-play projection vs Leahy (94.5 mph 4-Seam Fastball)

📍 Lineups are not all confirmed before publishing. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.

🎯 New to this market? Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →

Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections

MIA @ PIT — 6:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Braxton Ashcraft vs Liam Hicks Projected: First Pitch Strike — 61.7% (fair odds -161)

  • Braxton Ashcraft: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 97.3 mph
  • Liam Hicks: Swing 28.6%, In Play 5.0%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Sandy Alcantara vs Spencer Horwitz Projected: First Pitch Strike — 71.0% (fair odds -245)

  • Sandy Alcantara: Zone 73.3%, Ball 26.7%
  • Spencer Horwitz: Swing 22.7%, In Play 2.3%

SEA @ WSH — 6:45 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Bryce Miller vs James Wood Projected: First Pitch In Play — 13.6% (fair odds +637)

  • Bryce Miller: Zone 56.0%, Ball 44.0%
  • James Wood: Swing 32.9%, In Play 13.6%

SD @ BAL — 7:05 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Shane Baz vs Fernando Tatis Jr. Projected: First Pitch In Play — 18.7% (fair odds +435)

  • Shane Baz: Zone 60.5%, Ball 39.5%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.7 mph
  • Fernando Tatis Jr.: Swing 37.6%, In Play 18.7%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Griffin Canning vs Taylor Ward Projected: First Pitch Ball — 47.8% (fair odds +109)

  • Griffin Canning: Zone 52.2%, Ball 47.8%
  • Taylor Ward: Swing 27.3%, In Play 7.9%

TEX @ BOS — 7:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Sonny Gray vs Joc Pederson Projected: First Pitch Strike — 60.3% (fair odds -152)

  • Sonny Gray: Zone 76.7%, Ball 23.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.3 mph
  • Joc Pederson: Swing 23.1%, In Play 16.4%

DET @ CLE — 7:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Tanner Bibee vs Kevin McGonigle Projected: First Pitch In Play — 18.7% (fair odds +435)

  • Tanner Bibee: Zone 60.0%, Ball 40.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.4 mph
  • Kevin McGonigle: Swing 34.6%, In Play 18.7%

ATL @ NYM — 7:15 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Spencer Strider vs Carson Benge Projected: First Pitch Ball — 46.7% (fair odds +114)

  • Spencer Strider: Zone 53.3%, Ball 46.7%
  • Carson Benge: Swing 16.7%, In Play 4.5%

ARI @ CIN — 7:15 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Nick Lodolo vs Ketel Marte Projected: First Pitch In Play — 19.6% (fair odds +410)

  • Nick Lodolo: Zone 55.9%, Ball 44.1%, 1st pitch Sinker 93.7 mph
  • Ketel Marte: Swing 33.0%, In Play 19.6%

NYY @ TOR — 7:37 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Trey Yesavage vs Trent Grisham Projected: First Pitch Ball — 53.3% (fair odds -114)

  • Trey Yesavage: Zone 46.7%, Ball 53.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.5 mph
  • Trent Grisham: Swing 18.0%, In Play 3.2%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Ryan Weathers vs George Springer Projected: First Pitch In Play — 27.7% (fair odds +261)

  • Ryan Weathers: Zone 70.0%, Ball 30.0%
  • George Springer: Swing 30.4%, In Play 27.7%

LAD @ CWS — 7:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Anthony Kay vs Alex Call Projected: First Pitch Strike — 72.7% (fair odds -266)

  • Anthony Kay: Zone 72.7%, Ball 27.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.3 mph
  • Alex Call: Swing 0.0%, In Play 0.0%

PHI @ MIL — 7:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Jacob Misiorowski vs Kyle Schwarber Projected: First Pitch Ball — 59.3% (fair odds -146)

  • Jacob Misiorowski: Zone 40.7%, Ball 59.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 100.7 mph
  • Kyle Schwarber: Swing 38.1%, In Play 2.8%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Andrew Painter vs Christian Yelich Projected: First Pitch Strike — 63.6% (fair odds -175)

  • Andrew Painter: Zone 63.6%, Ball 36.4%
  • Christian Yelich: Swing 5.3%, In Play 0.0%

STL @ MIN — 8:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Joe Ryan vs JJ Wetherholt Projected: First Pitch Strike — 59.1% (fair odds -144)

  • Joe Ryan: Zone 72.1%, Ball 27.9%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.2 mph
  • JJ Wetherholt: Swing 30.6%, In Play 13.0%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Kyle Leahy vs Trevor Larnach Projected: First Pitch In Play — 17.2% (fair odds +481)

  • Kyle Leahy: Zone 61.5%, Ball 38.5%
  • Trevor Larnach: Swing 40.0%, In Play 17.2%

HOU @ KC — 8:10 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Tatsuya Imai vs Carter Jensen Projected: First Pitch Ball — 75.0% (fair odds -300)

  • Tatsuya Imai: Zone 25.0%, Ball 75.0%
  • Carter Jensen: Swing 50.0%, In Play 1.1%

TB @ LAA — 9:38 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Shane McClanahan vs Zach Neto Projected: First Pitch Ball — 58.3% (fair odds -140)

  • Shane McClanahan: Zone 41.7%, Ball 58.3%
  • Zach Neto: Swing 51.4%, In Play 13.4%

Live First Inning Data

For real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:

→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)

edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly.

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