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  "description": "Today's first pitch outcome picks for June 12, 2026 — top picks, full slate projections, and pitcher tendency data for every game.",
  "path": "/mlb/mlb-first-pitch-june-12-2026/",
  "publishedAt": "2026-06-12T21:52:56.000Z",
  "site": "https://edgely.bet",
  "tags": [
    "See full track record →",
    "Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →",
    "→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)"
  ],
  "textContent": "# First Pitch Outcome Picks: Friday, June 12, 2026\n\n* * *\n\n> **June 11 Results:**\n>  Strike Picks: 0/2 | Ball Picks: 1/1 | In Play Picks: 1/4 (0 fouled)\n> ✅ Carson Benge - Ball / ❌ Trevor Larnach - In Play / ✅ Kevin McGonigle - In Play / ❌ Wyatt Langford - In Play / ❌ Pete Crow-Armstrong - In Play / ❌ Edouard Julien - Strike / ❌ Nick Gonzales - Strike\n>\n> See full track record →\n\n### Winning Slips 💰\n\n* * *\n\n## Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks\n\nOur highest-conviction plays from today's 15-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.\n\n### First Pitch Ball Picks\n\n> **PHI @ MIL: Kyle Schwarber vs Jacob Misiorowski — 59.3% (fair odds -146)**\n>  Misiorowski 59.3% ball rate, Schwarber 38.1% swing tendency\n\n### First Pitch In Play Picks\n\n> **SD @ BAL: Fernando Tatis Jr. vs Shane Baz — 18.7% (fair odds +435)**\n>  Jr. 18.7% in-play projection vs Baz (94.7 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n> **STL @ MIN: Trevor Larnach vs Kyle Leahy — 17.2% (fair odds +481)**\n>  Larnach 17.2% in-play projection vs Leahy (94.5 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n* * *\n\n> 📍 Lineups are not all confirmed before publishing. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.\n\n> 🎯 **New to this market?** Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →\n\n* * *\n\n## Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections\n\n### MIA @ PIT — 6:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Braxton Ashcraft vs Liam Hicks**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 61.7%** (fair odds -161)\n\n  * Braxton Ashcraft: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 97.3 mph\n  * Liam Hicks: Swing 28.6%, In Play 5.0%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Sandy Alcantara vs Spencer Horwitz**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 71.0%** (fair odds -245)\n\n  * Sandy Alcantara: Zone 73.3%, Ball 26.7%\n  * Spencer Horwitz: Swing 22.7%, In Play 2.3%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### SEA @ WSH — 6:45 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Bryce Miller vs James Wood**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 13.6%** (fair odds +637)\n\n  * Bryce Miller: Zone 56.0%, Ball 44.0%\n  * James Wood: Swing 32.9%, In Play 13.6%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### SD @ BAL — 7:05 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Shane Baz vs Fernando Tatis Jr.**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 18.7%** (fair odds +435)\n\n  * Shane Baz: Zone 60.5%, Ball 39.5%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.7 mph\n  * Fernando Tatis Jr.: Swing 37.6%, In Play 18.7%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Griffin Canning vs Taylor Ward**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 47.8%** (fair odds +109)\n\n  * Griffin Canning: Zone 52.2%, Ball 47.8%\n  * Taylor Ward: Swing 27.3%, In Play 7.9%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### TEX @ BOS — 7:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Sonny Gray vs Joc Pederson**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 60.3%** (fair odds -152)\n\n  * Sonny Gray: Zone 76.7%, Ball 23.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.3 mph\n  * Joc Pederson: Swing 23.1%, In Play 16.4%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### DET @ CLE — 7:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Tanner Bibee vs Kevin McGonigle**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 18.7%** (fair odds +435)\n\n  * Tanner Bibee: Zone 60.0%, Ball 40.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.4 mph\n  * Kevin McGonigle: Swing 34.6%, In Play 18.7%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### ATL @ NYM — 7:15 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Spencer Strider vs Carson Benge**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 46.7%** (fair odds +114)\n\n  * Spencer Strider: Zone 53.3%, Ball 46.7%\n  * Carson Benge: Swing 16.7%, In Play 4.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### ARI @ CIN — 7:15 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Nick Lodolo vs Ketel Marte**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 19.6%** (fair odds +410)\n\n  * Nick Lodolo: Zone 55.9%, Ball 44.1%, 1st pitch Sinker 93.7 mph\n  * Ketel Marte: Swing 33.0%, In Play 19.6%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### NYY @ TOR — 7:37 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Trey Yesavage vs Trent Grisham**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 53.3%** (fair odds -114)\n\n  * Trey Yesavage: Zone 46.7%, Ball 53.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.5 mph\n  * Trent Grisham: Swing 18.0%, In Play 3.2%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Ryan Weathers vs George Springer**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 27.7%** (fair odds +261)\n\n  * Ryan Weathers: Zone 70.0%, Ball 30.0%\n  * George Springer: Swing 30.4%, In Play 27.7%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### LAD @ CWS — 7:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Anthony Kay vs Alex Call**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 72.7%** (fair odds -266)\n\n  * Anthony Kay: Zone 72.7%, Ball 27.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.3 mph\n  * Alex Call: Swing 0.0%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### PHI @ MIL — 7:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Jacob Misiorowski vs Kyle Schwarber**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 59.3%** (fair odds -146)\n\n  * Jacob Misiorowski: Zone 40.7%, Ball 59.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 100.7 mph\n  * Kyle Schwarber: Swing 38.1%, In Play 2.8%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Andrew Painter vs Christian Yelich**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 63.6%** (fair odds -175)\n\n  * Andrew Painter: Zone 63.6%, Ball 36.4%\n  * Christian Yelich: Swing 5.3%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### STL @ MIN — 8:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Joe Ryan vs JJ Wetherholt**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 59.1%** (fair odds -144)\n\n  * Joe Ryan: Zone 72.1%, Ball 27.9%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.2 mph\n  * JJ Wetherholt: Swing 30.6%, In Play 13.0%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Kyle Leahy vs Trevor Larnach**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 17.2%** (fair odds +481)\n\n  * Kyle Leahy: Zone 61.5%, Ball 38.5%\n  * Trevor Larnach: Swing 40.0%, In Play 17.2%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### HOU @ KC — 8:10 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Tatsuya Imai vs Carter Jensen**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 75.0%** (fair odds -300)\n\n  * Tatsuya Imai: Zone 25.0%, Ball 75.0%\n  * Carter Jensen: Swing 50.0%, In Play 1.1%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### TB @ LAA — 9:38 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Shane McClanahan vs Zach Neto**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 58.3%** (fair odds -140)\n\n  * Shane McClanahan: Zone 41.7%, Ball 58.3%\n  * Zach Neto: Swing 51.4%, In Play 13.4%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n## Live First Inning Data\n\nFor real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:\n\n→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)\n\n* * *\n\n_edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly._",
  "title": "First Pitch Outcome Picks: Friday, June 12, 2026 | MLB Edge",
  "updatedAt": "2026-06-12T21:52:56.901Z"
}