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First Pitch Outcome Picks: Saturday, June 6, 2026 | MLB Edge

edgely.bet June 6, 2026
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First Pitch Outcome Picks: Saturday, June 6, 2026

June 5 Results: Strike Picks: 3/6 | Ball Picks: 1/2 | In Play Picks: 0/10 (4 fouled)

❌ J.P. Crawford - In Play / ❌ Gleyber Torres - In Play / ❌ Chase Meidroth - In Play / ❌ Kyle Schwarber - In Play / ❌ Jarren Duran - Strike / ✅ Trent Grisham - Strike / ✅ Taylor Ward - Ball / ✅ George Springer - Strike / ❌ Chandler Simpson - In Play / ❌ Carlos Cortes - Strike / ❌ Travis Bazzana - Strike / ❌ Wyatt Langford - In Play / ❌ Carter Jensen - In Play / ❌ Byron Buxton - In Play / ✅ Christian Yelich - Strike / ❌ Jake McCarthy - Ball / ❌ Ketel Marte - In Play / ❌ Zach Neto - In Play

See full track record →

Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks

Our highest-conviction plays from today's 15-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.

First Pitch Ball Picks

OAK @ HOU: Carlos Cortes vs Tatsuya Imai — 85.7% (fair odds -599) Imai 85.7% ball rate, Cortes 28.6% swing tendency

First Pitch In Play Picks

SEA @ DET: J.P. Crawford vs Keider Montero — 13.7% (fair odds +629) Crawford 13.7% in-play projection vs Montero (92.8 mph 4-Seam Fastball)

SEA @ DET: Gleyber Torres vs Bryce Miller — 22.0% (fair odds +355) Torres 22.0% in-play projection vs Miller (95.7 mph 4-Seam Fastball)

📍 Lineups confirmed before publish. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.

🎯 New to this market? Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →

Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections

SEA @ DET — 1:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Keider Montero vs J.P. Crawford Projected: First Pitch In Play — 13.7% (fair odds +629)

  • Keider Montero: Zone 65.2%, Ball 34.8%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.8 mph
  • J.P. Crawford: Swing 37.8%, In Play 13.7%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Bryce Miller vs Gleyber Torres Projected: First Pitch In Play — 22.0% (fair odds +355)

  • Bryce Miller: Zone 54.2%, Ball 45.8%
  • Gleyber Torres: Swing 31.2%, In Play 22.0%

KC @ MIN — 2:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Joe Ryan vs Carter Jensen Projected: First Pitch In Play — 16.0% (fair odds +525)

  • Joe Ryan: Zone 71.4%, Ball 28.6%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.1 mph
  • Carter Jensen: Swing 50.0%, In Play 16.0%

CIN @ STL — 2:15 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Matthew Liberatore vs Dane Myers Projected: First Pitch In Play — 16.1% (fair odds +520)

  • Matthew Liberatore: Zone 70.7%, Ball 29.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.4 mph
  • Dane Myers: Swing 50.0%, In Play 16.1%

SF @ CHC — 2:20 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Ben Brown vs Casey Schmitt Projected: First Pitch Ball — 55.0% (fair odds -122)

  • Ben Brown: Zone 45.0%, Ball 55.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.5 mph
  • Casey Schmitt: Swing 60.0%, In Play 4.5%

BAL @ TOR — 3:07 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Kyle Bradish vs George Springer Projected: First Pitch Strike — 57.9% (fair odds -138)

  • Kyle Bradish: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%
  • George Springer: Swing 34.2%, In Play 8.8%

CWS @ PHI — 4:05 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Andrew Painter vs Sam Antonacci Projected: First Pitch Strike — 65.4% (fair odds -189)

  • Andrew Painter: Zone 70.0%, Ball 30.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 97.3 mph
  • Sam Antonacci: Swing 22.7%, In Play 4.6%

OAK @ HOU — 4:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Tatsuya Imai vs Carlos Cortes Projected: First Pitch Ball — 85.7% (fair odds -599)

  • Tatsuya Imai: Zone 14.3%, Ball 85.7%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.4 mph
  • Carlos Cortes: Swing 28.6%, In Play 1.2%

TB @ MIA — 4:10 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Shane McClanahan vs Heriberto Hernández Projected: First Pitch Ball — 54.5% (fair odds -120)

  • Shane McClanahan: Zone 45.5%, Ball 54.5%
  • Heriberto Hernández: Swing 100.0%, In Play 0.5%

WSH @ ARI — 4:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Eduardo Rodriguez vs James Wood Projected: First Pitch Ball — 46.3% (fair odds +116)

  • Eduardo Rodriguez: Zone 53.7%, Ball 46.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 90.8 mph
  • James Wood: Swing 30.0%, In Play 10.7%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Zack Littell vs Geraldo Perdomo Projected: First Pitch Strike — 62.8% (fair odds -169)

  • Zack Littell: Zone 65.0%, Ball 35.0%
  • Geraldo Perdomo: Swing 3.4%, In Play 2.2%

PIT @ ATL — 4:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Spencer Strider vs Spencer Horwitz Projected: First Pitch Ball — 48.3% (fair odds +107)

  • Spencer Strider: Zone 51.7%, Ball 48.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.6 mph
  • Spencer Horwitz: Swing 22.0%, In Play 1.8%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Braxton Ashcraft vs Ronald Acuña Jr. Projected: First Pitch In Play — 15.2% (fair odds +558)

  • Braxton Ashcraft: Zone 65.0%, Ball 35.0%
  • Ronald Acuña Jr.: Swing 46.6%, In Play 15.2%

BOS @ NYY — 7:35 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Will Warren vs Jarren Duran Projected: First Pitch Strike — 68.9% (fair odds -222)

  • Will Warren: Zone 82.2%, Ball 17.8%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.3 mph
  • Jarren Duran: Swing 26.1%, In Play 13.3%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Ranger Suarez vs Ben Rice Projected: First Pitch In Play — 15.0% (fair odds +568)

  • Ranger Suarez: Zone 64.9%, Ball 35.1%
  • Ben Rice: Swing 24.0%, In Play 15.0%

MIL @ COL — 9:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Tanner Gordon vs Christian Yelich Projected: First Pitch Strike — 64.7% (fair odds -183)

  • Tanner Gordon: Zone 64.7%, Ball 35.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 90.1 mph
  • Christian Yelich: Swing 11.8%, In Play 0.0%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Jacob Misiorowski vs Jake McCarthy Projected: First Pitch Ball — 57.7% (fair odds -136)

  • Jacob Misiorowski: Zone 42.3%, Ball 57.7%
  • Jake McCarthy: Swing 46.7%, In Play 2.8%

LAA @ LAD — 10:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Zach Neto Projected: First Pitch In Play — 14.6% (fair odds +586)

  • Yoshinobu Yamamoto: Zone 67.4%, Ball 32.6%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.3 mph
  • Zach Neto: Swing 53.1%, In Play 14.6%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Jack Kochanowicz vs Mookie Betts Projected: First Pitch Strike — 73.5% (fair odds -277)

  • Jack Kochanowicz: Zone 73.5%, Ball 26.5%
  • Mookie Betts: Swing 0.0%, In Play 0.0%

NYM @ SD — 10:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Griffin Canning vs Carson Benge Projected: First Pitch Ball — 50.0% (fair odds -100)

  • Griffin Canning: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.2 mph
  • Carson Benge: Swing 16.7%, In Play 5.0%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Nolan McLean vs Fernando Tatis Jr. Projected: First Pitch In Play — 17.1% (fair odds +484)

  • Nolan McLean: Zone 70.0%, Ball 30.0%
  • Fernando Tatis Jr.: Swing 38.3%, In Play 17.1%

Live First Inning Data

For real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:

→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)

edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly.

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