External Publication

First Pitch Outcome Picks: Wednesday, June 10, 2026 | MLB Edge

edgely.bet June 10, 2026

First Pitch Outcome Picks: Wednesday, June 10, 2026

June 9 Results: Strike Picks: 5/6 | Ball Picks: 3/9 | In Play Picks: 2/7 (2 fouled)

❌ Victor Robles - In Play / ❌ Taylor Ward - Ball / ✅ Nick Gonzales - Strike / ✅ Jarren Duran - Strike / ✅ Yandy Díaz - In Play / ✅ Byron Buxton - In Play / ✅ Gleyber Torres - Ball / ❌ Ketel Marte - In Play / ❌ Liam Hicks - Ball / ❌ Kyle Schwarber - Ball / ✅ Carson Benge - Ball / ❌ Joc Pederson - Strike / ❌ Carter Jensen - In Play / ✅ Sam Antonacci - Ball / ✅ Jake McCarthy - Strike / ❌ Jeremy Peña - Ball / ❌ Zach Neto - In Play / ✅ Blake Dunn - Strike / ❌ Fernando Tatis Jr. - Ball / ❌ James Wood - In Play / ❌ Casey Schmitt - Ball / ✅ Christian Yelich - Strike

See full track record →

Winning Slips 💰

Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks

Our highest-conviction plays from today's 15-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.

First Pitch Ball Picks

MIL @ OAK: Nick Kurtz vs Brandon Sproat — 57.1% (fair odds -133) Sproat 57.1% ball rate, Kurtz 39.5% swing tendency

First Pitch In Play Picks

HOU @ LAA: Zach Neto vs Peter Lambert — 19.4% (fair odds +416) Neto 19.4% in-play projection vs Lambert (93.7 mph 4-Seam Fastball)

ARI @ MIA: Ketel Marte vs Ryan Gusto — 22.2% (fair odds +350) Marte 22.2% in-play projection vs Gusto (93.6 mph 4-Seam Fastball)

📍 Lineups are not all confirmed before publishing. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.

🎯 New to this market? Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →

Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections

NYY @ CLE — 1:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Parker Messick vs Paul Goldschmidt Projected: First Pitch In Play — 17.4% (fair odds +476)

Parker Messick: Zone 65.0%, Ball 35.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.6 mph
Paul Goldschmidt: Swing 37.0%, In Play 17.4%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Carlos Rodón vs Angel Martínez Projected: First Pitch Strike — 67.8% (fair odds -211)

Carlos Rodón: Zone 77.5%, Ball 22.5%
Angel Martínez: Swing 18.2%, In Play 9.7%

BOS @ TB — 1:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Drew Rasmussen vs Jarren Duran Projected: First Pitch Strike — 63.7% (fair odds -176)

Drew Rasmussen: Zone 74.4%, Ball 25.6%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.9 mph
Jarren Duran: Swing 26.4%, In Play 10.7%

WSH @ SF — 3:45 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Foster Griffin vs Casey Schmitt Projected: First Pitch Strike — 59.8% (fair odds -149)

Foster Griffin: Zone 61.5%, Ball 38.5%
Casey Schmitt: Swing 40.0%, In Play 1.7%

CIN @ SD — 4:10 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Brady Singer vs Fernando Tatis Jr. Projected: First Pitch In Play — 17.3% (fair odds +476)

Brady Singer: Zone 65.9%, Ball 34.1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.: Swing 37.9%, In Play 17.3%

SEA @ BAL — 6:35 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): George Kirby vs Taylor Ward Projected: First Pitch Ball — 50.0% (fair odds -100)

George Kirby: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%
Taylor Ward: Swing 26.2%, In Play 6.7%

ARI @ MIA — 6:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Ryan Gusto vs Ketel Marte Projected: First Pitch In Play — 22.2% (fair odds +350)

Ryan Gusto: Zone 72.2%, Ball 27.8%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.6 mph
Ketel Marte: Swing 33.7%, In Play 22.2%

MIN @ DET — 6:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Framber Valdez vs Austin Martin Projected: First Pitch In Play — 16.5% (fair odds +507)

Framber Valdez: Zone 72.7%, Ball 27.3%, 1st pitch Sinker 93.2 mph
Austin Martin: Swing 33.3%, In Play 16.5%

PHI @ TOR — 7:07 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Jesús Luzardo vs George Springer Projected: First Pitch In Play — 25.3% (fair odds +295)

Jesús Luzardo: Zone 67.4%, Ball 32.6%
George Springer: Swing 27.3%, In Play 25.3%

STL @ NYM — 7:10 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Andre Pallante vs Carson Benge Projected: First Pitch Ball — 48.8% (fair odds +105)

Andre Pallante: Zone 51.2%, Ball 48.8%
Carson Benge: Swing 18.2%, In Play 4.2%

TEX @ KC — 7:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Seth Lugo vs Joc Pederson Projected: First Pitch Strike — 67.3% (fair odds -206)

Seth Lugo: Zone 79.5%, Ball 20.5%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 89.4 mph
Joc Pederson: Swing 20.0%, In Play 12.2%

ATL @ CWS — 7:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Erick Fedde vs Ronald Acuña Jr. Projected: First Pitch In Play — 15.4% (fair odds +547)

Erick Fedde: Zone 62.5%, Ball 37.5%, 1st pitch Sinker 92.6 mph
Ronald Acuña Jr.: Swing 48.3%, In Play 15.4%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Chris Sale vs Chase Meidroth Projected: First Pitch In Play — 16.0% (fair odds +526)

Chris Sale: Zone 61.3%, Ball 38.7%
Chase Meidroth: Swing 34.1%, In Play 16.0%

CHC @ COL — 8:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Michael Lorenzen vs Pete Crow-Armstrong Projected: First Pitch Strike — 58.0% (fair odds -138)

Michael Lorenzen: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.0 mph
Pete Crow-Armstrong: Swing 30.0%, In Play 8.7%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Shota Imanaga vs Willi Castro Projected: First Pitch Ball — 46.2% (fair odds +116)

Shota Imanaga: Zone 53.8%, Ball 46.2%
Willi Castro: Swing 50.0%, In Play 7.8%

MIL @ OAK — 9:05 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Brandon Sproat vs Nick Kurtz Projected: First Pitch Ball — 57.1% (fair odds -133)

Brandon Sproat: Zone 42.9%, Ball 57.1%
Nick Kurtz: Swing 39.5%, In Play 6.0%

HOU @ LAA — 9:38 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Reid Detmers vs Jeremy Peña Projected: First Pitch Ball — 46.2% (fair odds +116)

Reid Detmers: Zone 53.8%, Ball 46.2%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.1 mph
Jeremy Peña: Swing 42.3%, In Play 17.9%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Peter Lambert vs Zach Neto Projected: First Pitch In Play — 19.4% (fair odds +416)

Peter Lambert: Zone 88.9%, Ball 11.1%
Zach Neto: Swing 54.1%, In Play 19.4%

Live First Inning Data

For real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:

→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)

edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly.