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  "description": "Today's first pitch outcome picks for June 10, 2026 — top picks, full slate projections, and pitcher tendency data for every game.",
  "path": "/mlb/mlb-first-pitch-june-10-2026/",
  "publishedAt": "2026-06-10T14:46:16.000Z",
  "site": "https://edgely.bet",
  "tags": [
    "See full track record →",
    "Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →",
    "→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)"
  ],
  "textContent": "# First Pitch Outcome Picks: Wednesday, June 10, 2026\n\n* * *\n\n> **June 9 Results:**\n>  Strike Picks: 5/6 | Ball Picks: 3/9 | In Play Picks: 2/7 (2 fouled)\n>\n> ❌ Victor Robles - In Play / ❌ Taylor Ward - Ball / ✅ Nick Gonzales - Strike / ✅ Jarren Duran - Strike / ✅ Yandy Díaz - In Play / ✅ Byron Buxton - In Play / ✅ Gleyber Torres - Ball / ❌ Ketel Marte - In Play / ❌ Liam Hicks - Ball / ❌ Kyle Schwarber - Ball / ✅ Carson Benge - Ball / ❌ Joc Pederson - Strike / ❌ Carter Jensen - In Play / ✅ Sam Antonacci - Ball / ✅ Jake McCarthy - Strike / ❌ Jeremy Peña - Ball / ❌ Zach Neto - In Play / ✅ Blake Dunn - Strike / ❌ Fernando Tatis Jr. - Ball / ❌ James Wood - In Play / ❌ Casey Schmitt - Ball / ✅ Christian Yelich - Strike\n>\n> See full track record →\n\n### Winning Slips 💰\n\n* * *\n\n## Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks\n\nOur highest-conviction plays from today's 15-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.\n\n### First Pitch Ball Picks\n\n> **MIL @ OAK: Nick Kurtz vs Brandon Sproat — 57.1% (fair odds -133)**\n>  Sproat 57.1% ball rate, Kurtz 39.5% swing tendency\n\n### First Pitch In Play Picks\n\n> **HOU @ LAA: Zach Neto vs Peter Lambert — 19.4% (fair odds +416)**\n>  Neto 19.4% in-play projection vs Lambert (93.7 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n> **ARI @ MIA: Ketel Marte vs Ryan Gusto — 22.2% (fair odds +350)**\n>  Marte 22.2% in-play projection vs Gusto (93.6 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n* * *\n\n> 📍 Lineups are not all confirmed before publishing. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.\n\n> 🎯 **New to this market?** Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →\n\n* * *\n\n## Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections\n\n### NYY @ CLE — 1:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Parker Messick vs Paul Goldschmidt**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 17.4%** (fair odds +476)\n\n  * Parker Messick: Zone 65.0%, Ball 35.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.6 mph\n  * Paul Goldschmidt: Swing 37.0%, In Play 17.4%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Carlos Rodón vs Angel Martínez**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 67.8%** (fair odds -211)\n\n  * Carlos Rodón: Zone 77.5%, Ball 22.5%\n  * Angel Martínez: Swing 18.2%, In Play 9.7%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### BOS @ TB — 1:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Drew Rasmussen vs Jarren Duran**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 63.7%** (fair odds -176)\n\n  * Drew Rasmussen: Zone 74.4%, Ball 25.6%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.9 mph\n  * Jarren Duran: Swing 26.4%, In Play 10.7%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### WSH @ SF — 3:45 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Foster Griffin vs Casey Schmitt**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 59.8%** (fair odds -149)\n\n  * Foster Griffin: Zone 61.5%, Ball 38.5%\n  * Casey Schmitt: Swing 40.0%, In Play 1.7%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CIN @ SD — 4:10 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Brady Singer vs Fernando Tatis Jr.**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 17.3%** (fair odds +476)\n\n  * Brady Singer: Zone 65.9%, Ball 34.1%\n  * Fernando Tatis Jr.: Swing 37.9%, In Play 17.3%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### SEA @ BAL — 6:35 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): George Kirby vs Taylor Ward**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n  * George Kirby: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%\n  * Taylor Ward: Swing 26.2%, In Play 6.7%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### ARI @ MIA — 6:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Ryan Gusto vs Ketel Marte**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 22.2%** (fair odds +350)\n\n  * Ryan Gusto: Zone 72.2%, Ball 27.8%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.6 mph\n  * Ketel Marte: Swing 33.7%, In Play 22.2%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### MIN @ DET — 6:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Framber Valdez vs Austin Martin**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 16.5%** (fair odds +507)\n\n  * Framber Valdez: Zone 72.7%, Ball 27.3%, 1st pitch Sinker 93.2 mph\n  * Austin Martin: Swing 33.3%, In Play 16.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### PHI @ TOR — 7:07 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Jesús Luzardo vs George Springer**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 25.3%** (fair odds +295)\n\n  * Jesús Luzardo: Zone 67.4%, Ball 32.6%\n  * George Springer: Swing 27.3%, In Play 25.3%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### STL @ NYM — 7:10 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Andre Pallante vs Carson Benge**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 48.8%** (fair odds +105)\n\n  * Andre Pallante: Zone 51.2%, Ball 48.8%\n  * Carson Benge: Swing 18.2%, In Play 4.2%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### TEX @ KC — 7:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Seth Lugo vs Joc Pederson**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 67.3%** (fair odds -206)\n\n  * Seth Lugo: Zone 79.5%, Ball 20.5%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 89.4 mph\n  * Joc Pederson: Swing 20.0%, In Play 12.2%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### ATL @ CWS — 7:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Erick Fedde vs Ronald Acuña Jr.**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 15.4%** (fair odds +547)\n\n  * Erick Fedde: Zone 62.5%, Ball 37.5%, 1st pitch Sinker 92.6 mph\n  * Ronald Acuña Jr.: Swing 48.3%, In Play 15.4%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Chris Sale vs Chase Meidroth**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 16.0%** (fair odds +526)\n\n  * Chris Sale: Zone 61.3%, Ball 38.7%\n  * Chase Meidroth: Swing 34.1%, In Play 16.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CHC @ COL — 8:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Michael Lorenzen vs Pete Crow-Armstrong**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 58.0%** (fair odds -138)\n\n  * Michael Lorenzen: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.0 mph\n  * Pete Crow-Armstrong: Swing 30.0%, In Play 8.7%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Shota Imanaga vs Willi Castro**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 46.2%** (fair odds +116)\n\n  * Shota Imanaga: Zone 53.8%, Ball 46.2%\n  * Willi Castro: Swing 50.0%, In Play 7.8%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### MIL @ OAK — 9:05 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Brandon Sproat vs Nick Kurtz**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 57.1%** (fair odds -133)\n\n  * Brandon Sproat: Zone 42.9%, Ball 57.1%\n  * Nick Kurtz: Swing 39.5%, In Play 6.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### HOU @ LAA — 9:38 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Reid Detmers vs Jeremy Peña**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 46.2%** (fair odds +116)\n\n  * Reid Detmers: Zone 53.8%, Ball 46.2%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.1 mph\n  * Jeremy Peña: Swing 42.3%, In Play 17.9%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Peter Lambert vs Zach Neto**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 19.4%** (fair odds +416)\n\n  * Peter Lambert: Zone 88.9%, Ball 11.1%\n  * Zach Neto: Swing 54.1%, In Play 19.4%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n## Live First Inning Data\n\nFor real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:\n\n→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)\n\n* * *\n\n_edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly._",
  "title": "First Pitch Outcome Picks: Wednesday, June 10, 2026 | MLB Edge",
  "updatedAt": "2026-06-10T14:46:16.715Z"
}