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"description": "Today's first pitch outcome picks for June 9, 2026 — top picks, full slate projections, and pitcher tendency data for every game.",
"path": "/mlb/mlb-first-pitch-june-9-2026/",
"publishedAt": "2026-06-09T16:10:41.000Z",
"site": "https://edgely.bet",
"tags": [
"See full track record →",
"Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →",
"→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)"
],
"textContent": "# First Pitch Outcome Picks: Tuesday, June 9, 2026\n\n* * *\n\n> **June 8 Results:**\n> Strike Picks: 3/3 | Ball Picks: 1/3 | In Play Picks: 2/4 (1 fouled)\n>\n> ✅ Taylor Ward - Strike / ✅ Yandy Díaz - In Play / ✅ Trent Grisham - Strike / ✅ Travis Bazzana - Strike / ❌ George Springer - In Play / ❌ Zach Neto - In Play / ❌ Blake Dunn - Ball / ✅ Fernando Tatis Jr. - Ball / ❌ Christian Yelich - Ball / ✅ Shea Langeliers - In Play\n>\n> See full track record →\n\n### Winning Slips 💰\n\nnot a bad night at all!\n\n* * *\n\n## Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks\n\nOur highest-conviction plays from today's 15-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.\n\n### First Pitch Strike Picks\n\n> **CIN @ SD: Blake Dunn vs Lucas Giolito — 66.7% (fair odds -200)**\n> Giolito 66.7% zone, Dunn swings 16.7% of the time\n\n### First Pitch Ball Picks\n\n> **HOU @ LAA: Jeremy Peña vs Walbert Ureña — 77.8% (fair odds -350)**\n> Ureña 77.8% ball rate, Peña 39.2% swing tendency\n\n### First Pitch In Play Picks\n\n> **TEX @ KC: Carter Jensen vs Nathan Eovaldi — 20.6% (fair odds +385)**\n> Jensen 20.6% in-play projection vs Eovaldi (93.9 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n* * *\n\n> 📍 Lineups are not all confirmed before publishing. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.\n\n> 🎯 **New to this market?** Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →\n\n* * *\n\n## Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections\n\n### SEA @ BAL — 6:35 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Trevor Rogers vs J.P. Crawford**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 19.5%** (fair odds +414)\n\n * Trevor Rogers: Zone 62.1%, Ball 37.9%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.6 mph\n * J.P. Crawford: Swing 40.0%, In Play 19.5%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Logan Gilbert vs Taylor Ward**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.4%** (fair odds -102)\n\n * Logan Gilbert: Zone 49.6%, Ball 50.4%\n * Taylor Ward: Swing 24.4%, In Play 9.3%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### BOS @ TB — 6:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Nick Martinez vs Jarren Duran**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 14.2%** (fair odds +604)\n\n * Nick Martinez: Zone 71.1%, Ball 28.9%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.2 mph\n * Jarren Duran: Swing 26.7%, In Play 14.2%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Payton Tolle vs Yandy Díaz**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 19.4%** (fair odds +415)\n\n * Payton Tolle: Zone 72.7%, Ball 27.3%\n * Yandy Díaz: Swing 26.8%, In Play 19.4%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### MIN @ DET — 6:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Troy Melton vs Trevor Larnach**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 59.5%** (fair odds -147)\n\n * Troy Melton: Zone 75.0%, Ball 25.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 96.2 mph\n * Trevor Larnach: Swing 42.1%, In Play 15.5%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Taj Bradley vs Kerry Carpenter**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 52.6%** (fair odds -111)\n\n * Taj Bradley: Zone 47.4%, Ball 52.6%\n * Kerry Carpenter: Swing 39.5%, In Play 4.9%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### ARI @ MIA — 6:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Max Meyer vs Ketel Marte**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 19.4%** (fair odds +414)\n\n * Max Meyer: Zone 60.0%, Ball 40.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.5 mph\n * Ketel Marte: Swing 33.0%, In Play 19.4%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Zac Gallen vs Liam Hicks**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n * Zac Gallen: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%\n * Liam Hicks: Swing 25.0%, In Play 3.7%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### PHI @ TOR — 7:07 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Dylan Cease vs Kyle Schwarber**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 54.5%** (fair odds -120)\n\n * Dylan Cease: Zone 45.5%, Ball 54.5%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.9 mph\n * Kyle Schwarber: Swing 31.6%, In Play 6.0%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Zack Wheeler vs George Springer**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 63.6%** (fair odds -175)\n\n * Zack Wheeler: Zone 71.9%, Ball 28.1%\n * George Springer: Swing 34.2%, In Play 8.3%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### STL @ NYM — 7:10 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Dustin May vs Carson Benge**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 48.6%** (fair odds +106)\n\n * Dustin May: Zone 51.4%, Ball 48.6%\n * Carson Benge: Swing 19.0%, In Play 4.3%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### TEX @ KC — 7:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Stephen Kolek vs Joc Pederson**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 61.0%** (fair odds -156)\n\n * Stephen Kolek: Zone 72.0%, Ball 28.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.3 mph\n * Joc Pederson: Swing 20.8%, In Play 11.0%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Nathan Eovaldi vs Carter Jensen**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 20.6%** (fair odds +385)\n\n * Nathan Eovaldi: Zone 70.6%, Ball 29.4%\n * Carter Jensen: Swing 50.0%, In Play 20.6%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### ATL @ CWS — 7:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Erick Fedde vs Ronald Acuña Jr.**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 15.4%** (fair odds +548)\n\n * Erick Fedde: Zone 62.5%, Ball 37.5%, 1st pitch Sinker 92.6 mph\n * Ronald Acuña Jr.: Swing 48.3%, In Play 15.4%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Grant Holmes vs Sam Antonacci**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 48.5%** (fair odds +106)\n\n * Grant Holmes: Zone 51.5%, Ball 48.5%\n * Sam Antonacci: Swing 20.8%, In Play 3.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CHC @ COL — 8:40 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Colin Rea vs Jake McCarthy**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 59.2%** (fair odds -145)\n\n * Colin Rea: Zone 70.3%, Ball 29.7%\n * Jake McCarthy: Swing 47.1%, In Play 11.1%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### HOU @ LAA — 9:38 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Walbert Ureña vs Jeremy Peña**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 77.8%** (fair odds -350)\n\n * Walbert Ureña: Zone 22.2%, Ball 77.8%, 1st pitch Sinker 96.6 mph\n * Jeremy Peña: Swing 39.2%, In Play 5.4%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Kai-Wei Teng vs Zach Neto**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 14.2%** (fair odds +605)\n\n * Kai-Wei Teng: Zone 61.5%, Ball 38.5%\n * Zach Neto: Swing 54.5%, In Play 14.2%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CIN @ SD — 9:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Lucas Giolito vs Blake Dunn**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 66.7%** (fair odds -200)\n\n * Lucas Giolito: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.4 mph\n * Blake Dunn: Swing 16.7%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Chase Burns vs Fernando Tatis Jr.**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n * Chase Burns: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%\n * Fernando Tatis Jr.: Swing 37.4%, In Play 13.9%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### WSH @ SF — 9:45 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Adrian Houser vs James Wood**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 15.6%** (fair odds +540)\n\n * Adrian Houser: Zone 63.6%, Ball 36.4%, 1st pitch Sinker 95.0 mph\n * James Wood: Swing 33.3%, In Play 15.6%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Andrew Alvarez vs Casey Schmitt**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n * Andrew Alvarez: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%\n * Casey Schmitt: Swing 44.4%, In Play 10.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### MIL @ OAK — 10:05 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): J.T. Ginn vs Christian Yelich**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 66.7%** (fair odds -200)\n\n * J.T. Ginn: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch Sinker 93.4 mph\n * Christian Yelich: Swing 10.0%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n## Live First Inning Data\n\nFor real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:\n\n→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)\n\n* * *\n\n_edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly._",
"title": "First Pitch Outcome Picks: Tuesday, June 9, 2026 | MLB Edge",
"updatedAt": "2026-06-09T16:10:42.217Z"
}