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First Pitch Outcome Picks: Wednesday, June 3, 2026 | MLB Edge

edgely.bet June 3, 2026

First Pitch Outcome Picks: Wednesday, June 3, 2026

June 2 Results: Strike Picks: 1/2 | Ball Picks: 2/9 | In Play Picks: 1/9 (0 fouled)

❌ Gleyber Torres - In Play / ❌ Chandler Simpson - Ball / ❌ Kyle Schwarber - In Play / ✅ Taylor Ward - Strike / ❌ Travis Bazzana - Ball / ❌ Ben Rice - In Play / ❌ Lane Thomas - Ball / ❌ Dane Myers - Ball / ❌ George Springer - Ball / ❌ Ronald Acuña Jr. - In Play / ❌ Byron Buxton - In Play / ❌ Christian Yelich - Strike / ✅ Joc Pederson - Ball / ❌ JJ Wetherholt - In Play / ❌ Spencer Horwitz - Ball / ✅ Jeremy Peña - In Play / ❌ Shohei Ohtani - In Play / ❌ Ketel Marte - In Play / ❌ Carson Benge - Ball / ✅ J.P. Crawford - Ball

See full track record →

Winning Slips 💰

Went hard on this one since I had a big bonus bet to use. Saw Pena had a significantly high split for hitting a first pitch single if it goes in play and I split my regular unit in favor of that knowing I was playing the in play option live with the bonus bet + whatever line was best with the rest of my unit. It's nice when things work out exactly the way you hope!

Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks

Our highest-conviction plays from today's 15-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.

First Pitch Ball Picks

COL @ LAA: Jake McCarthy vs Walbert Ureña — 87.5% (fair odds -700) Ureña 87.5% ball rate, McCarthy 53.8% swing tendency

First Pitch In Play Picks

DET @ TB: Kevin McGonigle vs Nick Martinez — 35.7% (fair odds +180) McGonigle 35.7% in-play projection vs Martinez (92.3 mph 4-Seam Fastball)

CWS @ MIN: Byron Buxton vs Erick Fedde — 19.3% (fair odds +418) Buxton 19.3% in-play projection vs Fedde (92.6 mph Sinker)

📍 Lineups confirmed before publish. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.

🎯 New to this market? Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →

Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections

MIA @ WSH — 1:05 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Max Meyer vs James Wood Projected: First Pitch In Play — 16.2% (fair odds +516)

Max Meyer: Zone 58.3%, Ball 41.7%
James Wood: Swing 34.3%, In Play 16.2%

DET @ TB — 1:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Nick Martinez vs Kevin McGonigle Projected: First Pitch In Play — 35.7% (fair odds +180)

Nick Martinez: Zone 70.3%, Ball 29.7%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.3 mph
Kevin McGonigle: Swing 29.2%, In Play 35.7%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Troy Melton vs Chandler Simpson Projected: First Pitch Strike — 70.7% (fair odds -242)

Troy Melton: Zone 85.7%, Ball 14.3%
Chandler Simpson: Swing 17.3%, In Play 15.0%

CWS @ MIN — 1:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Taj Bradley vs Sam Antonacci Projected: First Pitch Ball — 51.4% (fair odds -106)

Taj Bradley: Zone 48.6%, Ball 51.4%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.5 mph
Sam Antonacci: Swing 23.8%, In Play 3.3%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Erick Fedde vs Byron Buxton Projected: First Pitch In Play — 19.3% (fair odds +418)

Erick Fedde: Zone 64.5%, Ball 35.5%
Byron Buxton: Swing 53.1%, In Play 19.3%

NYM @ SEA — 3:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): George Kirby vs Carson Benge Projected: First Pitch Ball — 48.7% (fair odds +105)

George Kirby: Zone 51.3%, Ball 48.7%, 1st pitch Sinker 96.4 mph
Carson Benge: Swing 18.8%, In Play 5.7%

SD @ PHI — 6:40 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Walker Buehler vs Kyle Schwarber Projected: First Pitch Ball — 48.6% (fair odds +106)

Walker Buehler: Zone 51.4%, Ball 48.6%
Kyle Schwarber: Swing 31.2%, In Play 9.8%

BAL @ BOS — 6:45 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Payton Tolle vs Taylor Ward Projected: First Pitch Strike — 58.4% (fair odds -140)

Payton Tolle: Zone 70.0%, Ball 30.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 96.1 mph
Taylor Ward: Swing 33.3%, In Play 11.6%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Chris Bassitt vs Jarren Duran Projected: First Pitch Strike — 60.6% (fair odds -154)

Chris Bassitt: Zone 70.0%, Ball 30.0%
Jarren Duran: Swing 26.5%, In Play 9.4%

CLE @ NYY — 7:05 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Gavin Williams vs Trent Grisham Projected: First Pitch Strike — 59.0% (fair odds -144)

Gavin Williams: Zone 63.6%, Ball 36.4%
Trent Grisham: Swing 18.0%, In Play 4.6%

KC @ CIN — 7:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Chase Burns vs Carter Jensen Projected: First Pitch Ball — 52.6% (fair odds -111)

Chase Burns: Zone 47.4%, Ball 52.6%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 98.0 mph
Carter Jensen: Swing 50.0%, In Play 0.0%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Stephen Kolek vs Blake Dunn Projected: First Pitch Strike — 60.2% (fair odds -151)

Stephen Kolek: Zone 70.8%, Ball 29.2%
Blake Dunn: Swing 25.0%, In Play 10.6%

TOR @ ATL — 7:15 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Grant Holmes vs George Springer Projected: First Pitch Ball — 50.0% (fair odds -100)

Grant Holmes: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.6 mph
George Springer: Swing 33.3%, In Play 5.1%

SF @ MIL — 7:40 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Logan Webb vs Christian Yelich Projected: First Pitch Ball — 46.5% (fair odds +115)

Logan Webb: Zone 53.5%, Ball 46.5%
Christian Yelich: Swing 14.3%, In Play 0.0%

TEX @ STL — 7:45 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Andre Pallante vs Joc Pederson Projected: First Pitch Ball — 50.0% (fair odds -100)

Andre Pallante: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.0 mph
Joc Pederson: Swing 23.8%, In Play 9.1%

OAK @ CHC — 8:05 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Colin Rea vs Carlos Cortes Projected: First Pitch In Play — 13.5% (fair odds +640)

Colin Rea: Zone 69.4%, Ball 30.6%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.9 mph
Carlos Cortes: Swing 25.0%, In Play 13.5%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Jeffrey Springs vs Nico Hoerner Projected: First Pitch Ball — 50.0% (fair odds -100)

Jeffrey Springs: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%
Nico Hoerner: Swing 13.8%, In Play 6.7%

PIT @ HOU — 8:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Spencer Arrighetti vs Spencer Horwitz Projected: First Pitch Strike — 64.3% (fair odds -180)

Spencer Arrighetti: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.9 mph
Spencer Horwitz: Swing 21.1%, In Play 2.4%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Paul Skenes vs Jeremy Peña Projected: First Pitch In Play — 17.0% (fair odds +489)

Paul Skenes: Zone 65.9%, Ball 34.1%
Jeremy Peña: Swing 39.6%, In Play 17.0%

COL @ LAA — 9:38 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Walbert Ureña vs Jake McCarthy Projected: First Pitch Ball — 87.5% (fair odds -700)

Walbert Ureña: Zone 12.5%, Ball 87.5%, 1st pitch Sinker 96.7 mph
Jake McCarthy: Swing 53.8%, In Play 0.5%

LAD @ ARI — 9:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Zac Gallen vs Shohei Ohtani Projected: First Pitch Ball — 51.1% (fair odds -104)

Zac Gallen: Zone 48.9%, Ball 51.1%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.6 mph
Shohei Ohtani: Swing 23.2%, In Play 6.5%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Shohei Ohtani vs Ketel Marte Projected: First Pitch Ball — 46.2% (fair odds +116)

Shohei Ohtani: Zone 53.8%, Ball 46.2%
Ketel Marte: Swing 32.5%, In Play 15.9%

Live First Inning Data

For real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:

→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)

edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly.