{
"$type": "site.standard.document",
"bskyPostRef": {
"cid": "bafyreihlnxqhy2fnxl6qa7ik2w46e6jij5mp4mylxepo4ylt4ahq33b3ua",
"uri": "at://did:plc:4gtoexavzutfsu6o3gozmuum/app.bsky.feed.post/3mnfa4qfdriu2"
},
"coverImage": {
"$type": "blob",
"ref": {
"$link": "bafkreia7zthcosrogzkubsty7vsa3kbr3mb2niqsuuxdb2yaeefeavxfwi"
},
"mimeType": "image/jpeg",
"size": 928247
},
"description": "Today's first pitch outcome picks for June 3, 2026 — top picks, full slate projections, and pitcher tendency data for every game.",
"path": "/mlb/mlb-first-pitch-june-3-2026/",
"publishedAt": "2026-06-03T13:36:44.000Z",
"site": "https://edgely.bet",
"tags": [
"See full track record →",
"Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →",
"→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)"
],
"textContent": "# First Pitch Outcome Picks: Wednesday, June 3, 2026\n\n* * *\n\n> **June 2 Results:**\n> Strike Picks: 1/2 | Ball Picks: 2/9 | In Play Picks: 1/9 (0 fouled)\n>\n> ❌ Gleyber Torres - In Play / ❌ Chandler Simpson - Ball / ❌ Kyle Schwarber - In Play / ✅ Taylor Ward - Strike / ❌ Travis Bazzana - Ball / ❌ Ben Rice - In Play / ❌ Lane Thomas - Ball / ❌ Dane Myers - Ball / ❌ George Springer - Ball / ❌ Ronald Acuña Jr. - In Play / ❌ Byron Buxton - In Play / ❌ Christian Yelich - Strike / ✅ Joc Pederson - Ball / ❌ JJ Wetherholt - In Play / ❌ Spencer Horwitz - Ball / ✅ Jeremy Peña - In Play / ❌ Shohei Ohtani - In Play / ❌ Ketel Marte - In Play / ❌ Carson Benge - Ball / ✅ J.P. Crawford - Ball\n>\n> See full track record →\n\n### Winning Slips 💰\n\nWent hard on this one since I had a big bonus bet to use. Saw Pena had a significantly high split for hitting a first pitch single if it goes in play and I split my regular unit in favor of that knowing I was playing the in play option live with the bonus bet + whatever line was best with the rest of my unit. It's nice when things work out exactly the way you hope!\n\n* * *\n\n## Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks\n\nOur highest-conviction plays from today's 15-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.\n\n### First Pitch Ball Picks\n\n> **COL @ LAA: Jake McCarthy vs Walbert Ureña — 87.5% (fair odds -700)**\n> Ureña 87.5% ball rate, McCarthy 53.8% swing tendency\n\n### First Pitch In Play Picks\n\n> **DET @ TB: Kevin McGonigle vs Nick Martinez — 35.7% (fair odds +180)**\n> McGonigle 35.7% in-play projection vs Martinez (92.3 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n> **CWS @ MIN: Byron Buxton vs Erick Fedde — 19.3% (fair odds +418)**\n> Buxton 19.3% in-play projection vs Fedde (92.6 mph Sinker)\n\n* * *\n\n> 📍 Lineups confirmed before publish. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.\n\n> 🎯 **New to this market?** Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →\n\n* * *\n\n## Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections\n\n### MIA @ WSH — 1:05 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Max Meyer vs James Wood**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 16.2%** (fair odds +516)\n\n * Max Meyer: Zone 58.3%, Ball 41.7%\n * James Wood: Swing 34.3%, In Play 16.2%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### DET @ TB — 1:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Nick Martinez vs Kevin McGonigle**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 35.7%** (fair odds +180)\n\n * Nick Martinez: Zone 70.3%, Ball 29.7%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.3 mph\n * Kevin McGonigle: Swing 29.2%, In Play 35.7%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Troy Melton vs Chandler Simpson**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 70.7%** (fair odds -242)\n\n * Troy Melton: Zone 85.7%, Ball 14.3%\n * Chandler Simpson: Swing 17.3%, In Play 15.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CWS @ MIN — 1:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Taj Bradley vs Sam Antonacci**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 51.4%** (fair odds -106)\n\n * Taj Bradley: Zone 48.6%, Ball 51.4%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.5 mph\n * Sam Antonacci: Swing 23.8%, In Play 3.3%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Erick Fedde vs Byron Buxton**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 19.3%** (fair odds +418)\n\n * Erick Fedde: Zone 64.5%, Ball 35.5%\n * Byron Buxton: Swing 53.1%, In Play 19.3%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### NYM @ SEA — 3:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): George Kirby vs Carson Benge**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 48.7%** (fair odds +105)\n\n * George Kirby: Zone 51.3%, Ball 48.7%, 1st pitch Sinker 96.4 mph\n * Carson Benge: Swing 18.8%, In Play 5.7%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### SD @ PHI — 6:40 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Walker Buehler vs Kyle Schwarber**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 48.6%** (fair odds +106)\n\n * Walker Buehler: Zone 51.4%, Ball 48.6%\n * Kyle Schwarber: Swing 31.2%, In Play 9.8%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### BAL @ BOS — 6:45 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Payton Tolle vs Taylor Ward**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 58.4%** (fair odds -140)\n\n * Payton Tolle: Zone 70.0%, Ball 30.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 96.1 mph\n * Taylor Ward: Swing 33.3%, In Play 11.6%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Chris Bassitt vs Jarren Duran**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 60.6%** (fair odds -154)\n\n * Chris Bassitt: Zone 70.0%, Ball 30.0%\n * Jarren Duran: Swing 26.5%, In Play 9.4%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CLE @ NYY — 7:05 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Gavin Williams vs Trent Grisham**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 59.0%** (fair odds -144)\n\n * Gavin Williams: Zone 63.6%, Ball 36.4%\n * Trent Grisham: Swing 18.0%, In Play 4.6%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### KC @ CIN — 7:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Chase Burns vs Carter Jensen**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 52.6%** (fair odds -111)\n\n * Chase Burns: Zone 47.4%, Ball 52.6%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 98.0 mph\n * Carter Jensen: Swing 50.0%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Stephen Kolek vs Blake Dunn**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 60.2%** (fair odds -151)\n\n * Stephen Kolek: Zone 70.8%, Ball 29.2%\n * Blake Dunn: Swing 25.0%, In Play 10.6%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### TOR @ ATL — 7:15 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Grant Holmes vs George Springer**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n * Grant Holmes: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.6 mph\n * George Springer: Swing 33.3%, In Play 5.1%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### SF @ MIL — 7:40 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Logan Webb vs Christian Yelich**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 46.5%** (fair odds +115)\n\n * Logan Webb: Zone 53.5%, Ball 46.5%\n * Christian Yelich: Swing 14.3%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### TEX @ STL — 7:45 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Andre Pallante vs Joc Pederson**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n * Andre Pallante: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.0 mph\n * Joc Pederson: Swing 23.8%, In Play 9.1%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### OAK @ CHC — 8:05 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Colin Rea vs Carlos Cortes**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 13.5%** (fair odds +640)\n\n * Colin Rea: Zone 69.4%, Ball 30.6%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.9 mph\n * Carlos Cortes: Swing 25.0%, In Play 13.5%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Jeffrey Springs vs Nico Hoerner**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n * Jeffrey Springs: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%\n * Nico Hoerner: Swing 13.8%, In Play 6.7%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### PIT @ HOU — 8:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Spencer Arrighetti vs Spencer Horwitz**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 64.3%** (fair odds -180)\n\n * Spencer Arrighetti: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.9 mph\n * Spencer Horwitz: Swing 21.1%, In Play 2.4%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Paul Skenes vs Jeremy Peña**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 17.0%** (fair odds +489)\n\n * Paul Skenes: Zone 65.9%, Ball 34.1%\n * Jeremy Peña: Swing 39.6%, In Play 17.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### COL @ LAA — 9:38 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Walbert Ureña vs Jake McCarthy**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 87.5%** (fair odds -700)\n\n * Walbert Ureña: Zone 12.5%, Ball 87.5%, 1st pitch Sinker 96.7 mph\n * Jake McCarthy: Swing 53.8%, In Play 0.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### LAD @ ARI — 9:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Zac Gallen vs Shohei Ohtani**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 51.1%** (fair odds -104)\n\n * Zac Gallen: Zone 48.9%, Ball 51.1%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.6 mph\n * Shohei Ohtani: Swing 23.2%, In Play 6.5%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Shohei Ohtani vs Ketel Marte**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 46.2%** (fair odds +116)\n\n * Shohei Ohtani: Zone 53.8%, Ball 46.2%\n * Ketel Marte: Swing 32.5%, In Play 15.9%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n## Live First Inning Data\n\nFor real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:\n\n→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)\n\n* * *\n\n_edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly._",
"title": "First Pitch Outcome Picks: Wednesday, June 3, 2026 | MLB Edge",
"updatedAt": "2026-06-03T13:36:44.870Z"
}