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First Pitch Outcome Picks: Monday, June 1, 2026 | MLB Edge

edgely.bet June 1, 2026

First Pitch Outcome Picks: Monday, June 1, 2026

May 31 Results: Strike Picks: 3/5 | Ball Picks: 2/5 | In Play Picks: 1/6 (2 fouled)

❌ Nathan Lukes - In Play / ✅ Fernando Tatis Jr. - In Play / ✅ James Wood - Ball / ❌ Austin Martin - In Play / ✅ Spencer Horwitz - Strike / ✅ Travis Bazzana - Strike / ❌ Yandy Díaz - In Play / ❌ Ronald Acuña Jr. - Ball / ✅ Christian Yelich - Ball / ❌ Jeremy Peña - Ball / ❌ Joc Pederson - Strike / ❌ Paul Goldschmidt - Ball / ✅ Carlos Cortes - Strike / ❌ Ketel Marte - In Play / ❌ Kyle Schwarber - In Play / ❌ Nico Hoerner - Strike

See full track record →

Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks

Our highest-conviction plays from today's 9-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.

First Pitch Ball Picks

LAD @ ARI: Ketel Marte vs Emmet Sheehan — 54.5% (fair odds -120) Sheehan 54.5% ball rate, Marte 33.3% swing tendency

KC @ CIN: Carter Jensen vs Chase Burns — 52.6% (fair odds -111) Burns 52.6% ball rate, Jensen 75.0% swing tendency

First Pitch In Play Picks

MIA @ WSH: James Wood vs Sandy Alcantara — 18.2% (fair odds +450) Wood 18.2% in-play projection vs Alcantara (95.4 mph Sinker)

📍 Lineups confirmed before publish. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.

🎯 New to this market? Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →

Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections

MIA @ WSH — 6:45 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Cade Cavalli vs Xavier Edwards Projected: First Pitch In Play — 15.6% (fair odds +539)

Cade Cavalli: Zone 72.7%, Ball 27.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 96.1 mph
Xavier Edwards: Swing 28.5%, In Play 15.6%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Sandy Alcantara vs James Wood Projected: First Pitch In Play — 18.2% (fair odds +450)

Sandy Alcantara: Zone 72.1%, Ball 27.9%
James Wood: Swing 33.8%, In Play 18.2%

KC @ CIN — 7:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Chase Burns vs Carter Jensen Projected: First Pitch Ball — 52.6% (fair odds -111)

Chase Burns: Zone 47.4%, Ball 52.6%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 98.0 mph
Carter Jensen: Swing 75.0%, In Play 0.0%

SF @ MIL — 7:40 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Landen Roupp vs Christian Yelich Projected: First Pitch Strike — 63.6% (fair odds -175)

Landen Roupp: Zone 63.6%, Ball 36.4%
Christian Yelich: Swing 16.7%, In Play 0.0%

CWS @ MIN — 7:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Joe Ryan vs Sam Antonacci Projected: First Pitch Strike — 58.7% (fair odds -142)

Joe Ryan: Zone 70.7%, Ball 29.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.1 mph
Sam Antonacci: Swing 26.3%, In Play 12.0%

TEX @ STL — 7:45 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Michael McGreevy vs Joc Pederson Projected: First Pitch Strike — 72.7% (fair odds -266)

Michael McGreevy: Zone 80.8%, Ball 19.2%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.2 mph
Joc Pederson: Swing 21.1%, In Play 8.1%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Jacob deGrom vs JJ Wetherholt Projected: First Pitch Strike — 59.9% (fair odds -149)

Jacob deGrom: Zone 75.6%, Ball 24.4%
JJ Wetherholt: Swing 32.6%, In Play 15.7%

COL @ LAA — 9:38 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): José Soriano vs Jake McCarthy Projected: First Pitch Ball — 46.5% (fair odds +115)

José Soriano: Zone 53.5%, Ball 46.5%, 1st pitch Sinker 96.6 mph
Jake McCarthy: Swing 58.3%, In Play 6.5%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Kyle Freeland vs Zach Neto Projected: First Pitch In Play — 23.0% (fair odds +334)

Kyle Freeland: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%
Zach Neto: Swing 52.8%, In Play 23.0%

LAD @ ARI — 9:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Eduardo Rodriguez vs Shohei Ohtani Projected: First Pitch Ball — 47.5% (fair odds +111)

Eduardo Rodriguez: Zone 52.5%, Ball 47.5%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 90.8 mph
Shohei Ohtani: Swing 36.5%, In Play 13.3%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Emmet Sheehan vs Ketel Marte Projected: First Pitch Ball — 54.5% (fair odds -120)

Emmet Sheehan: Zone 45.5%, Ball 54.5%
Ketel Marte: Swing 33.3%, In Play 12.7%

NYM @ SEA — 9:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Emerson Hancock vs Carson Benge Projected: First Pitch Strike — 63.9% (fair odds -177)

Emerson Hancock: Zone 73.1%, Ball 26.9%, 1st pitch Sinker 94.5 mph
Carson Benge: Swing 20.0%, In Play 9.2%

Live First Inning Data

For real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:

→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)

edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly.