{
"$type": "site.standard.document",
"bskyPostRef": {
"cid": "bafyreieax2ewfno36bkae7mzyxesvz5u2a7llyd2ryzmnvecns5rzo7iie",
"uri": "at://did:plc:4gtoexavzutfsu6o3gozmuum/app.bsky.feed.post/3mnabej23or32"
},
"coverImage": {
"$type": "blob",
"ref": {
"$link": "bafkreids65p5pc5lic5bvzzxdue2j55oaqniticcb4at53syacaizxiygi"
},
"mimeType": "image/jpeg",
"size": 465769
},
"description": "Today's first pitch outcome picks for June 1, 2026 — top picks, full slate projections, and pitcher tendency data for every game.",
"path": "/mlb/mlb-first-pitch-june-1-2026/",
"publishedAt": "2026-06-01T14:15:48.000Z",
"site": "https://edgely.bet",
"tags": [
"See full track record →",
"Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →",
"→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)"
],
"textContent": "# First Pitch Outcome Picks: Monday, June 1, 2026\n\n* * *\n\n> **May 31 Results:**\n> Strike Picks: 3/5 | Ball Picks: 2/5 | In Play Picks: 1/6 (2 fouled)\n>\n> ❌ Nathan Lukes - In Play / ✅ Fernando Tatis Jr. - In Play / ✅ James Wood - Ball / ❌ Austin Martin - In Play / ✅ Spencer Horwitz - Strike / ✅ Travis Bazzana - Strike / ❌ Yandy Díaz - In Play / ❌ Ronald Acuña Jr. - Ball / ✅ Christian Yelich - Ball / ❌ Jeremy Peña - Ball / ❌ Joc Pederson - Strike / ❌ Paul Goldschmidt - Ball / ✅ Carlos Cortes - Strike / ❌ Ketel Marte - In Play / ❌ Kyle Schwarber - In Play / ❌ Nico Hoerner - Strike\n>\n> See full track record →\n\n* * *\n\n## Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks\n\nOur highest-conviction plays from today's 9-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.\n\n### First Pitch Ball Picks\n\n> **LAD @ ARI: Ketel Marte vs Emmet Sheehan — 54.5% (fair odds -120)**\n> Sheehan 54.5% ball rate, Marte 33.3% swing tendency\n\n> **KC @ CIN: Carter Jensen vs Chase Burns — 52.6% (fair odds -111)**\n> Burns 52.6% ball rate, Jensen 75.0% swing tendency\n\n### First Pitch In Play Picks\n\n> **MIA @ WSH: James Wood vs Sandy Alcantara — 18.2% (fair odds +450)**\n> Wood 18.2% in-play projection vs Alcantara (95.4 mph Sinker)\n\n* * *\n\n> 📍 Lineups confirmed before publish. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.\n\n> 🎯 **New to this market?** Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →\n\n* * *\n\n## Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections\n\n### MIA @ WSH — 6:45 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Cade Cavalli vs Xavier Edwards**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 15.6%** (fair odds +539)\n\n * Cade Cavalli: Zone 72.7%, Ball 27.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 96.1 mph\n * Xavier Edwards: Swing 28.5%, In Play 15.6%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Sandy Alcantara vs James Wood**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 18.2%** (fair odds +450)\n\n * Sandy Alcantara: Zone 72.1%, Ball 27.9%\n * James Wood: Swing 33.8%, In Play 18.2%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### KC @ CIN — 7:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Chase Burns vs Carter Jensen**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 52.6%** (fair odds -111)\n\n * Chase Burns: Zone 47.4%, Ball 52.6%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 98.0 mph\n * Carter Jensen: Swing 75.0%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### SF @ MIL — 7:40 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Landen Roupp vs Christian Yelich**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 63.6%** (fair odds -175)\n\n * Landen Roupp: Zone 63.6%, Ball 36.4%\n * Christian Yelich: Swing 16.7%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CWS @ MIN — 7:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Joe Ryan vs Sam Antonacci**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 58.7%** (fair odds -142)\n\n * Joe Ryan: Zone 70.7%, Ball 29.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.1 mph\n * Sam Antonacci: Swing 26.3%, In Play 12.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### TEX @ STL — 7:45 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Michael McGreevy vs Joc Pederson**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 72.7%** (fair odds -266)\n\n * Michael McGreevy: Zone 80.8%, Ball 19.2%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.2 mph\n * Joc Pederson: Swing 21.1%, In Play 8.1%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Jacob deGrom vs JJ Wetherholt**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 59.9%** (fair odds -149)\n\n * Jacob deGrom: Zone 75.6%, Ball 24.4%\n * JJ Wetherholt: Swing 32.6%, In Play 15.7%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### COL @ LAA — 9:38 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): José Soriano vs Jake McCarthy**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 46.5%** (fair odds +115)\n\n * José Soriano: Zone 53.5%, Ball 46.5%, 1st pitch Sinker 96.6 mph\n * Jake McCarthy: Swing 58.3%, In Play 6.5%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Kyle Freeland vs Zach Neto**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 23.0%** (fair odds +334)\n\n * Kyle Freeland: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%\n * Zach Neto: Swing 52.8%, In Play 23.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### LAD @ ARI — 9:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Eduardo Rodriguez vs Shohei Ohtani**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 47.5%** (fair odds +111)\n\n * Eduardo Rodriguez: Zone 52.5%, Ball 47.5%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 90.8 mph\n * Shohei Ohtani: Swing 36.5%, In Play 13.3%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Emmet Sheehan vs Ketel Marte**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 54.5%** (fair odds -120)\n\n * Emmet Sheehan: Zone 45.5%, Ball 54.5%\n * Ketel Marte: Swing 33.3%, In Play 12.7%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### NYM @ SEA — 9:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Emerson Hancock vs Carson Benge**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 63.9%** (fair odds -177)\n\n * Emerson Hancock: Zone 73.1%, Ball 26.9%, 1st pitch Sinker 94.5 mph\n * Carson Benge: Swing 20.0%, In Play 9.2%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n## Live First Inning Data\n\nFor real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:\n\n→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)\n\n* * *\n\n_edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly._",
"title": "First Pitch Outcome Picks: Monday, June 1, 2026 | MLB Edge",
"updatedAt": "2026-06-01T14:15:49.313Z"
}