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First Pitch Outcome Picks: Wednesday, June 24, 2026 | MLB Edge

edgely.bet June 24, 2026

First Pitch Outcome Picks: Wednesday, June 24, 2026

June 22 Results: Strike Picks: 2/5 | Ball Picks: 1/6 | In Play Picks: 2/7 (2 fouled) ✅ Jose Altuve - Ball / ✅ George Springer - Strike / ❌ Spencer Horwitz - Ball / ❌ Lane Thomas - Ball / ✅ Joc Pederson - Strike / ❌ Jakob Marsee - In Play / ❌ Kevin McGonigle - In Play / ❌ Trea Turner - Strike / ✅ James Wood - In Play / ❌ Carson Benge - Strike / ❌ Jackson Chourio - In Play / ❌ Blake Dunn - Ball / ❌ Miguel Vargas - In Play / ✅ Ketel Marte - In Play / ❌ Jake McCarthy - Strike / ❌ Zach Neto - In Play / ❌ Fernando Tatis Jr. - Ball / ❌ Luis Arraez - Ball

See full track record →

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Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks

Our highest-conviction plays from today's 16-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.

First Pitch Ball Picks

HOU @ TOR: Jose Altuve vs Trey Yesavage — 52.9% (fair odds -112) Yesavage 52.9% ball rate, Altuve 45.5% swing tendency

First Pitch In Play Picks

CLE @ CWS: Travis Bazzana vs Erick Fedde — 20.2% (fair odds +395) Bazzana 20.2% in-play projection vs Fedde (92.6 mph Sinker)

NYY @ DET: Kevin McGonigle vs Ryan Weathers — 20.8% (fair odds +381) McGonigle 20.8% in-play projection vs Weathers (93.3 mph 4-Seam Fastball)

📍 Lineups are not all confirmed before publishing. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.

🎯 New to this market? Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →

Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections

TEX @ MIA — 12:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Eury Pérez vs Joc Pederson Projected: First Pitch Ball — 53.1% (fair odds -113)

Eury Pérez: Zone 46.9%, Ball 53.1%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.0 mph
Joc Pederson: Swing 18.2%, In Play 7.4%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Jacob deGrom vs Xavier Edwards Projected: First Pitch In Play — 18.7% (fair odds +433)

Jacob deGrom: Zone 77.8%, Ball 22.2%
Xavier Edwards: Swing 28.1%, In Play 18.7%

CHC @ NYM — 1:10 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Javier Assad vs Carson Benge Projected: First Pitch Strike — 62.3% (fair odds -165)

Javier Assad: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%
Carson Benge: Swing 16.7%, In Play 4.4%

CLE @ CWS — 2:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Erick Fedde vs Travis Bazzana Projected: First Pitch In Play — 20.2% (fair odds +395)

Erick Fedde: Zone 62.5%, Ball 37.5%, 1st pitch Sinker 92.6 mph
Travis Bazzana: Swing 35.3%, In Play 20.2%

BOS @ COL — 3:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Kyle Freeland vs Nate Eaton Projected: First Pitch In Play — 25.9% (fair odds +285)

Kyle Freeland: Zone 67.4%, Ball 32.6%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 90.1 mph
Nate Eaton: Swing 42.9%, In Play 25.9%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Ranger Suarez vs Willi Castro Projected: First Pitch In Play — 13.8% (fair odds +624)

Ranger Suarez: Zone 62.5%, Ball 37.5%
Willi Castro: Swing 46.2%, In Play 13.8%

KC @ TB — 6:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Griffin Jax vs Carter Jensen Projected: First Pitch Strike — 58.0% (fair odds -138)

Griffin Jax: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.8 mph
Carter Jensen: Swing 47.4%, In Play 8.7%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Noah Cameron vs Yandy Díaz Projected: First Pitch Ball — 52.6% (fair odds -111)

Noah Cameron: Zone 47.4%, Ball 52.6%
Yandy Díaz: Swing 27.7%, In Play 12.0%

SEA @ PIT — 6:40 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Bryan Woo vs Spencer Horwitz Projected: First Pitch Strike — 59.0% (fair odds -144)

Bryan Woo: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%
Spencer Horwitz: Swing 25.0%, In Play 7.7%

NYY @ DET — 6:40 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Ryan Weathers vs Kevin McGonigle Projected: First Pitch In Play — 20.8% (fair odds +381)

Ryan Weathers: Zone 68.2%, Ball 31.8%
Kevin McGonigle: Swing 41.0%, In Play 20.8%

PHI @ WSH — 6:45 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Miles Mikolas vs Trea Turner Projected: First Pitch Strike — 62.5% (fair odds -167)

Miles Mikolas: Zone 73.0%, Ball 27.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.4 mph
Trea Turner: Swing 25.8%, In Play 10.5%

HOU @ TOR — 7:07 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Trey Yesavage vs Jose Altuve Projected: First Pitch Ball — 52.9% (fair odds -112)

Trey Yesavage: Zone 47.1%, Ball 52.9%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.5 mph
Jose Altuve: Swing 45.5%, In Play 15.6%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Mike Burrows vs George Springer Projected: First Pitch Ball — 50.0% (fair odds -100)

Mike Burrows: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%
George Springer: Swing 33.7%, In Play 7.6%

CHC @ NYM — 7:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Sean Manaea vs Pete Crow-Armstrong Projected: First Pitch Strike — 61.7% (fair odds -161)

Sean Manaea: Zone 78.6%, Ball 21.4%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.0 mph
Pete Crow-Armstrong: Swing 30.0%, In Play 16.9%

MIL @ CIN — 7:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Rhett Lowder vs Christian Yelich Projected: First Pitch Ball — 54.5% (fair odds -120)

Rhett Lowder: Zone 45.5%, Ball 54.5%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.2 mph
Christian Yelich: Swing 8.7%, In Play 0.0%

LAD @ MIN — 7:40 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Joe Ryan vs Shohei Ohtani Projected: First Pitch Strike — 63.5% (fair odds -174)

Joe Ryan: Zone 73.3%, Ball 26.7%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.2 mph
Shohei Ohtani: Swing 23.5%, In Play 9.8%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Shohei Ohtani vs Trevor Larnach Projected: First Pitch In Play — 14.0% (fair odds +616)

Shohei Ohtani: Zone 55.2%, Ball 44.8%
Trevor Larnach: Swing 44.4%, In Play 14.0%

ARI @ STL — 7:45 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Matthew Liberatore vs Ketel Marte Projected: First Pitch In Play — 19.9% (fair odds +402)

Matthew Liberatore: Zone 68.2%, Ball 31.8%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.4 mph
Ketel Marte: Swing 32.7%, In Play 19.9%

ATL @ SD — 8:40 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Martín Pérez vs Fernando Tatis Jr. Projected: First Pitch Ball — 47.6% (fair odds +110)

Martín Pérez: Zone 52.4%, Ball 47.6%
Fernando Tatis Jr.: Swing 41.1%, In Play 3.4%

OAK @ SF — 9:45 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Tyler Mahle vs Nick Kurtz Projected: First Pitch In Play — 17.3% (fair odds +479)

Tyler Mahle: Zone 61.5%, Ball 38.5%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 90.2 mph
Nick Kurtz: Swing 38.3%, In Play 17.3%

Live First Inning Data

For real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:

→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)

edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly.