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First Pitch Outcome Picks: Saturday, June 20, 2026 | MLB Edge

edgely.bet June 20, 2026

First Pitch Outcome Picks: Saturday, June 20, 2026

June 19 Results: Strike Picks: 2/2 | Ball Picks: 2/7 | In Play Picks: 2/11 (0 fouled) ❌ George Springer - Ball / ❌ Pete Crow-Armstrong - In Play / ❌ Kevin McGonigle - Ball / ❌ Ben Rice - Ball / ✅ Yandy Díaz - In Play / ✅ Liam Hicks - Strike / ✅ Christian Yelich - Ball / ❌ Drake Baldwin - Ball / ❌ Fernando Tatis Jr. - In Play / ❌ Joc Pederson - In Play / ❌ Travis Bazzana - Ball / ❌ Jeremy Peña - In Play / ❌ JJ Wetherholt - In Play / ❌ Carter Jensen - In Play / ✅ Spencer Horwitz - Strike / ❌ Jake McCarthy - In Play / ✅ Zach Neto - Ball / ✅ Trevor Larnach - In Play / ❌ Ketel Marte - In Play / ❌ Rob Refsnyder - In Play

See full track record →

Winning Slips 💰

Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks

Our highest-conviction plays from today's 14-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.

First Pitch Ball Picks

LAA @ OAK: Zack Gelof vs Walbert Ureña — 63.6% (fair odds -175) Ureña 63.6% ball rate, Gelof 0.0% swing tendency

First Pitch In Play Picks

CLE @ HOU: Travis Bazzana vs Spencer Arrighetti — 16.9% (fair odds +491) Bazzana 16.9% in-play projection vs Arrighetti (92.1 mph 4-Seam Fastball)

BOS @ SEA: Rob Refsnyder vs Connelly Early — 17.2% (fair odds +480) Refsnyder 17.2% in-play projection vs Early (93.4 mph 4-Seam Fastball)

📍 Lineups are not all confirmed before publishing. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.

🎯 New to this market? Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →

Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections

CWS @ DET — 1:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Troy Melton vs Sam Antonacci Projected: First Pitch Strike — 73.2% (fair odds -273)

Troy Melton: Zone 77.8%, Ball 22.2%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 96.4 mph
Sam Antonacci: Swing 17.9%, In Play 4.6%

CIN @ NYY — 1:35 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Will Warren vs Blake Dunn Projected: First Pitch Strike — 83.0% (fair odds -488)

Will Warren: Zone 83.0%, Ball 17.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.3 mph
Blake Dunn: Swing 12.5%, In Play 0.0%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Andrew Abbott vs Ben Rice Projected: First Pitch Ball — 53.5% (fair odds -115)

Andrew Abbott: Zone 46.5%, Ball 53.5%
Ben Rice: Swing 25.0%, In Play 8.6%

TOR @ CHC — 2:20 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Colin Rea vs George Springer Projected: First Pitch Strike — 60.7% (fair odds -154)

Colin Rea: Zone 71.1%, Ball 28.9%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.9 mph
George Springer: Swing 35.0%, In Play 10.4%

SD @ TEX — 4:05 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Nathan Eovaldi vs Fernando Tatis Jr. Projected: First Pitch In Play — 22.2% (fair odds +350)

Nathan Eovaldi: Zone 72.2%, Ball 27.8%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.0 mph
Fernando Tatis Jr.: Swing 37.7%, In Play 22.2%

SF @ MIA — 4:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Max Meyer vs Luis Arraez Projected: First Pitch Strike — 57.7% (fair odds -136)

Max Meyer: Zone 63.0%, Ball 37.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.4 mph
Luis Arraez: Swing 11.1%, In Play 5.3%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Trevor McDonald vs Liam Hicks Projected: First Pitch Strike — 80.0% (fair odds -400)

Trevor McDonald: Zone 80.0%, Ball 20.0%
Liam Hicks: Swing 15.4%, In Play 0.0%

MIL @ ATL — 4:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Chris Sale vs Christian Yelich Projected: First Pitch Strike — 59.4% (fair odds -146)

Chris Sale: Zone 59.4%, Ball 40.6%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.1 mph
Christian Yelich: Swing 14.8%, In Play 0.0%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Kyle Harrison vs Mauricio Dubón Projected: First Pitch In Play — 29.1% (fair odds +244)

Kyle Harrison: Zone 94.4%, Ball 5.6%
Mauricio Dubón: Swing 37.5%, In Play 29.1%

WSH @ TB — 4:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Ian Seymour vs James Wood Projected: First Pitch In Play — 16.7% (fair odds +499)

Ian Seymour: Zone 71.4%, Ball 28.6%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 87.2 mph
James Wood: Swing 28.1%, In Play 16.7%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Cade Cavalli vs Yandy Díaz Projected: First Pitch In Play — 22.5% (fair odds +344)

Cade Cavalli: Zone 76.0%, Ball 24.0%
Yandy Díaz: Swing 36.4%, In Play 22.5%

NYM @ PHI — 7:15 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Cristopher Sánchez vs Carson Benge Projected: First Pitch Strike — 59.8% (fair odds -148)

Cristopher Sánchez: Zone 63.3%, Ball 36.7%, 1st pitch Sinker 94.6 mph
Carson Benge: Swing 19.4%, In Play 3.5%

CLE @ HOU — 7:15 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Spencer Arrighetti vs Travis Bazzana Projected: First Pitch In Play — 16.9% (fair odds +491)

Spencer Arrighetti: Zone 72.2%, Ball 27.8%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.1 mph
Travis Bazzana: Swing 26.3%, In Play 16.9%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Joey Cantillo vs Jeremy Peña Projected: First Pitch In Play — 28.5% (fair odds +250)

Joey Cantillo: Zone 67.9%, Ball 32.1%
Jeremy Peña: Swing 40.7%, In Play 28.5%

PIT @ COL — 9:10 PM ET

B1 (Bottom 1st): Paul Skenes vs Jake McCarthy Projected: First Pitch Strike — 57.6% (fair odds -136)

Paul Skenes: Zone 66.0%, Ball 34.0%
Jake McCarthy: Swing 45.0%, In Play 8.4%

LAA @ OAK — 10:05 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): J.T. Ginn vs Zach Neto Projected: First Pitch In Play — 13.4% (fair odds +645)

J.T. Ginn: Zone 65.5%, Ball 34.5%, 1st pitch Sinker 93.4 mph
Zach Neto: Swing 54.0%, In Play 13.4%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Walbert Ureña vs Zack Gelof Projected: First Pitch Ball — 63.6% (fair odds -175)

Walbert Ureña: Zone 36.4%, Ball 63.6%
Zack Gelof: Swing 0.0%, In Play 0.0%

MIN @ ARI — 10:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Zac Gallen vs Trevor Larnach Projected: First Pitch Ball — 47.9% (fair odds +109)

Zac Gallen: Zone 52.1%, Ball 47.9%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.6 mph
Trevor Larnach: Swing 41.7%, In Play 10.8%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Taj Bradley vs Ketel Marte Projected: First Pitch Ball — 52.5% (fair odds -111)

Taj Bradley: Zone 47.5%, Ball 52.5%
Ketel Marte: Swing 32.0%, In Play 11.2%

BOS @ SEA — 10:10 PM ET

T1 (Top 1st): Emerson Hancock vs Mickey Gasper Projected: First Pitch Strike — 72.4% (fair odds -262)

Emerson Hancock: Zone 72.4%, Ball 27.6%, 1st pitch Sinker 94.5 mph
Mickey Gasper: Swing 0.0%, In Play 0.0%

B1 (Bottom 1st): Connelly Early vs Rob Refsnyder Projected: First Pitch In Play — 17.2% (fair odds +480)

Connelly Early: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%
Rob Refsnyder: Swing 28.0%, In Play 17.2%

Live First Inning Data

For real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:

→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)

edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly.