COLLISION PROBABILITY CALCULATION DEVICE, COLLISION PROBABILITY CALCULATION SYSTEM AND COLLISION PROBABILITY CALCULATION METHOD

A collision probability calculation device is provided with: a setting unit that sets a two-dimensional area composed of direction components of a first direction and a second direction, and including a first estimated position where a vehicle is estimated to arrive in the future from a reference position; a first variance calculation unit for calculating a first variance value of first position information in the two-dimensional area; a second variance calculation unit for calculating a second variance value of second position information on a second estimated position where an object is estimated to arrive in the future at the time when the vehicle arrives at the first estimated position; and a probability calculation unit for calculating the probability of a collision between the vehicle and the object, using the two-dimensional area, the first position information, the second position information, the first variance value and the second variance value.