I ran 40,000 Monte Carlo simulations of Hungary’s April 2026 election. Orbán’s 16-year rule is a coin flip. [OC]
USLUCK - USLUCK.COM [Unofficial]
February 14, 2026
Data source: Polling data aggregated from the Vox Populi database (kozvelemeny.org) Tools: Python (matplotlib), hierarchical Bayesian model with 40,000 Monte Carlo simulations More details: https://www.szazkilencvenkilenc.hu/forecast-2026-02-09/ by Exciting-Lab1263
Discussion in the ATmosphere