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  "path": "/772690/i-ran-40000-monte-carlo-simulations-of-hungarys-april-2026-election-orbans-16-year-rule-is-a-coin-flip-oc/",
  "publishedAt": "2026-02-14T16:50:52.000Z",
  "site": "https://www.usluck.com",
  "tags": [
    "Data Is Beautiful"
  ],
  "textContent": "Data source: Polling data aggregated from the Vox Populi database (kozvelemeny.org) Tools: Python (matplotlib), hierarchical Bayesian model with 40,000 Monte Carlo simulations More details: https://www.szazkilencvenkilenc.hu/forecast-2026-02-09/ by Exciting-Lab1263",
  "title": "I ran 40,000 Monte Carlo simulations of Hungary’s April 2026 election. Orbán’s 16-year rule is a coin flip. [OC]"
}