SPC MD 1063

MD 1063 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR NORTHERN MISSOURI INTO SOUTHEAST IOWA Mesoscale Discussion 1063 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0743 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026 Areas affected...Northern Missouri into southeast Iowa Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 101243Z - 101445Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Weak convection will move into an increasingly unstable environment by late morning/early afternoon. This activity will need to be monitored. A watch is not likely in the near term, however. DISCUSSION...Water vapor imagery shows a shortwave trough in the lower Missouri Valley with additional lift provided by a weak MCV in eastern Kansas. Weak convection has developed in response to these features this morning. While this activity is expected to remain weak in the short term, recent runs of the HRRR appear to capture this weak cluster and intensify it sometime by late this morning into early afternoon. Observational trends will need to be monitored over the coming hours. A watch is not likely in the near term. ..Wendt/Guyer.. 06/10/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX... LAT...LON 39489509 40469459 42079199 41749095 40809078 39569294 39199413 39489509 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more