SPC MD 700

MD 0700 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 196...197... FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL TEXAS Mesoscale Discussion 0700 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0615 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026 Areas affected...much of central Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 196...197... Valid 102315Z - 110215Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 196, 197 continues. SUMMARY...Severe storms moving into central Texas continue to produce large hail and a few damaging gusts. A transition to damaging wind threat is expected this evening. DISCUSSION...Substantial storm clusters persist near the southward-moving cold front, with very large hail reported in Runnels County. Another large storm complex was located over Hamilton County as of 23Z. The air mass remains very moist and unstable, and will continue to favor southeastward propagation as the cold front pushes south. Deep-layer shear is generally near 35 kt and boundary-parallel, and low-level southeasterly winds are not particularly strong. However, merging storms and outflows may eventually support forward acceleration across much of the remainder of the warm sector late this evening and overnight, with attendant increase in storm-relative inflow. Portions of east-central into southeast TX may require a watch later this evening, should the existing severe activity develop beyond the eastern boundaries of watches 196/197. ..Jewell.. 05/10/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...MAF... LAT...LON 29930183 30280137 30990105 31579996 31639945 31699840 31749778 31449750 31079717 30789701 30549686 29909704 29739733 29519788 29219879 28800001 28570047 29080069 29680145 29760181 29930183 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more