Researchers find Kalshi and Polymarket bettors can more accurately predict economic data, earnings, and political events than analysts, likely due to incentives (Lydia DePillis/New York Times)

Lydia DePillis / New York Times: Researchers find Kalshi and Polymarket bettors can more accurately predict economic data, earnings, and political events than analysts, likely due to incentives   —  Economists at top banks and investment firms who command high salaries to divine the direction of the economy expect …