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  "path": "/260211/p16#a260211p16",
  "publishedAt": "2026-02-11T11:45:01.000Z",
  "site": "http://www.techmeme.com",
  "tags": [
    "New York Times",
    "Researchers find Kalshi and Polymarket bettors can more accurately predict economic data, earnings, and political events than analysts, likely due to incentives"
  ],
  "textContent": "\n\n Lydia DePillis / New York Times:\n**Researchers find Kalshi and Polymarket bettors can more accurately predict economic data, earnings, and political events than analysts, likely due to incentives**   —  Economists at top banks and investment firms who command high salaries to divine the direction of the economy expect …",
  "title": "Researchers find Kalshi and Polymarket bettors can more accurately predict economic data, earnings, and political events than analysts, likely due to incentives (Lydia DePillis/New York Times)"
}