Is Israel about to Invade Lebanon (again)?

Israeli strikes in Lebanon threaten to plunge the country back into conflict and disarray, with Hezbollah attacking in the wake of the war in Iran. So in this video, we'll explain what's happened and if we could see an Israeli ground invasion of Lebanon.

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Sources:

Lebanon’s positive trajectory 2025: https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2025-11/The%20Cedar%26%23039%3Bs%20Turn%20-%20Lebanon%26%23039%3Bs%20Emerging%20Momentum%20in%202025.pdf

Israeli strikes during ceasefire: https://israel-alma.org/monthly-summary-idf-airstrikes-in-lebanon-and-hezbollah-activity-february-2026/

Implementation of ceasefire: https://theconversation.com/hezbollah-degraded-weakened-but-not-yet-disarmed-destabilizes-lebanon-once-again-277327

Hezbollah attacks Israel after Khamenei assassination: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c5y4v8g13wxo

Lebanese death toll and Israeli offensive: https://www.middleeasteye.net/live-blog/live-blog-update/death-toll-israeli-strikes-lebanon-rises-687?nid=434266&topic=War%2520on%2520Iran&fid=552991

Israeli strikes on Beirut: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cj32750e7j6o https://www.ft.com/content/63bf2190-96f6-4192-beed-eeec0ead921d https://apnews.com/video/israeli-strike-hits-a-major-seaside-tourist-area-of-beirut-ap-explains-d8619f5edced47d9accab8c1f8d97a65 https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2gjq8qd09o https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/12/israel-bombards-beirut-southern-lebanon-hezbollah

Attempted Israeli raid in eastern Lebanon: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy8l2p2l3v0o https://www.politico.com/news/2026/03/07/dozens-killed-in-lebanon-as-israel-searches-for-signs-of-navigator-missing-for-40-years-00818072

Two Israeli soldiers killed in Hezbollah attack: https://www.timesofisrael.com/two-idf-soldiers-killed-in-hezbollah-attack-in-southern-lebanon/

Wednesday/Thursday night heavy exchange of fire: https://x.com/UNIFIL_/status/2032053039415103819 https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/12/israel-bombards-beirut-southern-lebanon-hezbollah https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2gjq8qd09o

Lebanese government bans Hezbollah military activity: https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2026/03/02/lebanon-bans-hezbollah-s-armed-wing-after-rocket-fire_6751019_4.html

Hezbollah’s isolation in Lebanon: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c4gq3ykg7pvo https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/hezbollahs-entry-into-iran-crisis-deepens-its-isolation-home-2026-03-04/ https://www.ft.com/content/037f1db8-1183-498e-9c25-4239e574cf15

Israel redeploys brigade to northern border: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/12/israel-bombards-beirut-southern-lebanon-hezbollah

Hezbollah bracing for Israeli invasion: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/hezbollah-returns-guerrilla-roots-awaits-israeli-invasion-2026-03-10/

Israel expects Lebanon war to outlast Iran war: https://www.ft.com/content/364a246a-8837-4de0-82d8-53d982844bfa

France pushing for ceasefire and helping Lebanon: https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2026/03/09/lebanon-macron-calls-for-action-but-faces-israel-s-refusal_6751262_4.html https://www.rfi.fr/en/france/20260306-france-ramps-up-military-aid-to-lebanon-as-macron-calls-for-halt-in-attacks-middle-east-war https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/france-provide-60-tons-humanitarian-aid-lebanon-2026-03-11/

Lebanese government seeks ceasefire: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cd9g5p3ppxlo https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/03/12/israel-hezbollah-lebanon-war/