Has Trump Actually Slashed the US Trade Deficit?
Nebula – Indie Streaming [Unofficial]
February 12, 2026
In the past couple of weeks, Trump has continued to claim that his tariffs reduced the monthly trade deficit by 77%. In this video, we're taking a look at his claim, why that's not quite true and whether it should be credited to his tariffs.
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Sources:
Trade deficit data
https://www.bea.gov/system/files/trad1125-chart.png
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/balance-of-trade
https://en.econreporter.com/57634/us-trade-deficit-nov2025-tariff-front-loading-fades/
Trump WSJ oped
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/donald-j-trump-my-tariffs-have-brought-america-back-2248391b
Dollar share of reserves
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-01/dollar-slump-puts-share-of-foreign-reserves-at-30-year-low
Dollar index
https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/dxy
Declines in US manufacturing
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1Pwpx
https://www.apricitas.io/p/america-is-losing-blue-collar-jobs
Discussion in the ATmosphere