Does a Bayesian "p > 0.5" translate as "probably"?
Datamethods Discussion Forum [Unofficial]
June 10, 2026
Thank you, Mark! This is very much the sort of thing I’d hoped for. It gives me a little ammunition in case reviewers object, but also serves as a caution, given that only a few people in that interactive graphic put ‘probably’ at 50–51%.
Discussion in the ATmosphere