FDA Draft Guidance: Use of Bayesian Methodology in Clinical Trials of Drug and Biological Products

Stephen Senn has a post on LinkedIn discussing the FDA Bayesian guidance, and some complexities of adaptive trials that might not be obvious.

linkedin.com

Beware of the Morlocks:

If you use a Bayesian Time Machine you may be in for some surprises "It sounds plausible enough tonight,” said the Medical Man; “but wait until tomorrow. Wait for the common sense of the morning.

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