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Crypto DeMark Sentiment Index — 2026-04-20

Core-Brief April 20, 2026
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Crypto Sentiment — 2026-04-20

Current tone: neutral

Latest score: 53.9/100

Cross-coin dispersion: 65.8 pts

The current market sentiment is leaning towards a neutral stance, with leaders such as TRON and Dogecoin taking the helm, while laggards like Litecoin and Polkadot trail behind. Our forward return playbook indicates that the market may be poised for a potential upswing, but it's essential to remain cautious and aware of the possibilities. By analyzing the coin map, investors can better understand the complex relationships between different cryptocurrencies and make more informed decisions. As the market continues to evolve, it's crucial to stay informed and adapt to the changing landscape, keeping a close eye on the leaders and laggards to maximize potential gains.

Scan the Forward return playbook for context, then the Coin map for leadership and laggards.

Forward return playbook (BTC)

Historical medians and hit ratios from past dates that looked similar to today (same regime + tight score band).

Horizon Median BTC Hit Ratio N
1M 1.0% 52.3% 109
3M -9.3% 41.3% 109
6M 12.0% 60.6% 109

Coin map (0=cold, 100=hot)

Leading / Hot

  • TRON: 89.0/100
  • Dogecoin: 84.5/100
  • Ethereum: 77.9/100
  • XRP: 62.6/100

Lagging / Cold

  • Litecoin: 23.2/100
  • Polkadot: 32.1/100
  • Toncoin: 33.6/100
  • Solana: 42.7/100

Neutral

  • Chainlink: 57.6/100
  • Avalanche: 55.2/100
  • Bitcoin: 52.1/100
  • BNB: 45.5/100
  • Cardano: 44.9/100

Read-through

  • Higher dispersion often means selection matters more than beta.
  • Use the playbook as a bias check, then size risk around the coin map (leaders vs laggards).

Discussion in the ATmosphere

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