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S&P 500 Sector Sentiment — 2026-02-17

Core-Brief February 17, 2026
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S&P 500 Sector Sentiment — 2026-02-17

Current tone: neutral

Latest score: 55.5/100

Cross-sector dispersion: 96.9 pts

The Sector map is highlighting a clear divide between leaders and laggards, with Energy and Industrials taking the reins. Energy and Industrials are driving the momentum, while Technology and Financials are lagging behind. A Forward return playbook is essential in navigating this complex landscape, where sector rotation is key to success. By understanding the dynamics at play, traders can make informed decisions and stay ahead of the curve.

Scan the Forward return playbook for context, then the Sector map for leadership and laggards.

Leaders include Energy, Industrials.

Laggards include Technology, Financials.

Forward return playbook (SPX)

Historical medians and hit ratios from past dates that looked similar to today (conditional on the sentiment regime + a tight score band).

Horizon Median SPX Hit Ratio N
1M 0.5% 56.7% 360
3M 1.2% 59.2% 360
6M 1.5% 60.8% 360
12M 6.2% 67.2% 360

Sector map (0=cold, 100=hot)

Leading / Hot

  • Energy: 99.9/100
  • Industrials: 95.7/100
  • Materials: 94.7/100

Lagging / Cold

  • Technology: 3.0/100
  • Financials: 8.2/100
  • Consumer Disc.: 8.6/100

Neutral

  • Real Estate: 93.8/100
  • Consumer Staples: 90.6/100
  • Utilities: 76.4/100
  • Health Care: 28.2/100
  • Comm. Services: 11.8/100

Read-through

  • Higher dispersion usually means stock selection and factor tilts matter more than pure index direction.
  • Use the playbook as a bias check, then size risk around the sector map (leaders vs laggards).

Discussion in the ATmosphere

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