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"description": "The BTC / 10Y Treasury correlation has inverted from +0.42 (Q1 2026) to −0.18 over 18 consecutive days. Statistically significant at 95%. Marc Steiner assigns P(structural signal vs noise) = 0.71. Institutional VaR models are underpricing tail risk right now. Brier-score-public.",
"path": "/intelligence/btc-10y-correlation-rupture-marc-steiner-w20-2026/",
"publishedAt": "2026-05-13T19:27:26.000Z",
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"title": "BTC / 10Y Correlation: An 18-Day Rupture, Priced at Zero",
"updatedAt": "2026-05-14T06:22:05.077Z"
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