SYSTEMS AND METHODS FOR ESTIMATING THE RISK ASSOCIATED WITH A VEHICULAR MANEUVER

Systems and methods described herein relate to estimating risk associated with a vehicular maneuver. One embodiment acquires a geometric representation of an intersection including a lane in which a vehicle is traveling and at least one other lane; discretizes the at least one other lane into a plurality of segments; determines a trajectory along which the vehicle will travel; estimates a probability density function for whether a road agent external to the vehicle is present in the respective segments; estimates a traffic-conflict probability of a traffic conflict in the respective segments conditioned on whether an external road agent is present; estimates a risk associated with the vehicle following the trajectory by integrating a product of the probability density function and the traffic-conflict probability over the at least one other lane and the plurality of segments; and controls operation of the vehicle based, at least in part, on the estimated risk.