MOVING NUMBER ESTIMATING DEVICE, MOVING NUMBER ESTIMATING METHOD, AND MOVING NUMBER ESTIMATING PROGRAM

An intersection determination is made regarding whether or not a traffic route included in map information intersects a boundary between areas on a basis of the traffic route and an area shape between areas that are adjacent in the map information, the intersection determination being made for each pair of adjacent areas. On a basis of a weight determined for the boundary in a case where the intersection determination is made that no intersection exists, a movement cost graph expressing a movement cost for each area that accounts for the weight is constructed. A corrected shortest distance between areas is calculated on a basis of the movement cost graph. A human mobility between areas is estimated for each timestep, the timestep being the length of a predetermined time interval, according to a predetermined function for estimating the human mobility between areas on a basis of the corrected shortest distance between areas and a population of each of the areas at different predetermined times.