The Rice Catastrophe Paper and the RCP 8.5 Rug-Pull
Watts Up With That? [Unofficial]
June 1, 2026
Rice has fed civilizations through the Holocene Climatic Optimum, the mid-Holocene warm spike, the Medieval Warm Period, and the Little Ice Age. The paper’s own author concedes that aggregate production can be maintained. The paper’s own introduction acknowledges that adaptation is already masking the warming that has occurred. And the paper’s thirty-times figure rests on a scenario that no longer exists in the literature.
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Discussion in the ATmosphere