Aerosols: The Heads I Win, Tails You Lose of Climate Science

This is what “heads I win, tails you lose” looks like in a scientific framework. There is no observational outcome that forces a reconsideration of the underlying assumptions. Warming confirms the theory. Too much warming confirms aerosol masking. Too little warming confirms variability. Aerosols can cool, warm, hide, reveal, or offset—whatever the moment requires.