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  "description": "The death of Ali Khamenei was expected to shake the Islamic Republic. Instead, Iran’s wartime succession and the rise of Mojtaba Khamenei reveal a regime that remains cohesive under pressure. National mobilisation, institutional loyalty and war dynamics may reinforce rather than weaken the system.",
  "path": "/khamenei-is-dead-long-live-khamenei/",
  "publishedAt": "2026-03-09T21:19:54.000Z",
  "site": "https://www.thegeopoliticaldesk.com",
  "tags": [
    "Get 50% Off Intelligence Yearly →",
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  ],
  "textContent": "Ongoing Coverage: U.S.–Israel War on Iran\n\nThis article is part of our ongoing coverage of the U.S.-Israel war on Iran.\n\nWe are tracking escalation pathways, energy market exposure, proxy mobilisation and leadership dynamics in real time.\n\nIntelligence subscribers get access to probability-weighted scenario mapping, early-warning indicators and direct expert briefings as events unfold.\n\n Get 50% Off Intelligence Yearly → \n\nSimilarly to the Iran-Iraq war, this current conflict reinforces the Islamic Republic’s credentials.\n\nDespite heavy strikes on military, oil, and government assets by Israel, there is still no sign of a collapse of either the state or its security apparatus.\n\nInstead, the regime has so far shown great resilience and adequate crisis management preparedness.\n\nThere are fuel caps and shortages due to recent Israeli strikes on oil depots near Tehran, and foodstuff prices have skyrocketed even more with signs of lower supplies.\n\nHowever, the government has shown it is pursuing contingency plans to remedy these supply issues, including activating war risk insurance and strengthening the sustainability of logistics networks.\n\nThe Islamic Republic’s resilience can be explained by a structure that has far more bottom-up aspects than outsiders may expect.\n\nIt may be hierarchical but has never been unipolar, giving factions space to sustain an internal debate which, although viewed as not enough by plenty of Iranians, still offers swings between power centres.\n\nAt times of outside pressure, these poles all regroup around core values and central figures, mainly the supreme leader.\n\nAt the lower-level, supporters of the Islamic Republic gladly rise to the occasion as they genuinely feel like participants in the political system.\n\nTheir mobilisation is not primarily motivated by fear of losing status or any meagre material belongings, but rather by a deep sense of duty and the need to protect a system that gives them identity and purpose.\n\n### This post is for subscribers only\n\nBecome a member to get access to all content\n\nSubscribe now",
  "title": "Khamenei is dead, long live Khamenei: Iran’s regime after wartime succession",
  "updatedAt": "2026-03-10T17:13:32.293Z"
}