They Bet Khamenei Would Be 'Out' but Saw Payout Evaporate
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March 4, 2026
Prediction market Kalshi dangled what looked like a big win, then yanked it back, some bettors complain. After news broke of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's killing, users who had wagered he'd be "out as Supreme Leader" by April saw green check marks on their screens—until Kalshi froze the $54 million...
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