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  "path": "/features/commentary/oscars-prediction-markets-kalshi-accurate-1235184957/",
  "publishedAt": "2026-03-18T23:54:38.000Z",
  "site": "https://www.indiewire.com",
  "tags": [
    "Commentary",
    "Features",
    "Awards",
    "Film",
    "Jessie Buckley",
    "Kalshi",
    "Oscars",
    "polymarket",
    "Timotheé Chalamet"
  ],
  "textContent": "The recent explosion of Kalshi and Polymarket meant Oscar gambling and interest skyrocketed, but these weren’t the healthy predictive markets we've been promised.",
  "title": "Prediction Markets Claimed an Oscar Victory. The Reality Was Messier."
}