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A Cryptography Engineer’s Perspective on Quantum Computing Timelines

Privacy Guides Community [Unofficial] April 10, 2026
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The same author talked about there being a practical limit to circuit depth https://x.com/FiloSottile/status/1544680637638008833 Direct quote being > This MAXDEPTH is realistically around 2⁴⁰, which makes a quantum attack against a 128-bit cipher take more than 2¹²⁸ anyway. I’m unsure if they meant 256-bit ciphers take more than 2¹²⁸. But still, from what I gather, O(sqrt(n)) is an ideal runtime, not what’s possible in practice.

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