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  "path": "/846996/oc-how-16-world-cup-eliminations-redistributed-title-odds-argentina-jumped-to-second-spain-slipped-despite-qualifying/",
  "publishedAt": "2026-06-28T22:59:56.000Z",
  "site": "https://www.usluck.com",
  "tags": [
    "Data Is Beautiful"
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  "textContent": "Tool: custom Monte-Carlo bracket model in Python (NumPy, pandas), 10,000 simulated 2026 World Cups; charts in Matplotlib. Data: our match model plus the live bracket and results. Source: uanalyse.co.uk The chart is a before/after of each contender's title probability: the grey dot is the pre-tournament forecast, the coloured dot is after the group stage. Green [...]",
  "title": "[OC] How 16 World Cup eliminations redistributed title odds: Argentina jumped to second, Spain slipped despite qualifying"
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