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  "path": "/products/md/md1125.html",
  "publishedAt": "2026-06-13T21:40:04.000Z",
  "site": "https://www.spc.noaa.gov",
  "tags": [
    "Read more"
  ],
  "textContent": "MD 1125 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA...SOUTHWESTERN IOWA...NORTHERN MISSOURI\n\n\n\n\n    Mesoscale Discussion 1125\n    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK\n    0317 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026\n\n    Areas affected...southeastern Nebraska...southwestern\n    Iowa...northern Missouri\n\n    Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely\n\n    Valid 132017Z - 132215Z\n\n    Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent\n\n    SUMMARY...Thunderstorm activity to increase along the southward\n    moving cold front. Initial supercells will be capable of large hail\n    and damaging wind.\n\n    DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity will increase along the cold\n    front this afternoon/evening spreading eastward through time.\n    Surface objective analysis is likely underestimating the progression\n    northward of better instability in the wake of the morning\n    convection. 18z soundings from TOP and DVN suggest MLCAPE is\n    spreading northward faster than advertised. Cumulus development is\n    increasing near the intersection of a diffuse remnant outflow\n    boundary to the south with the cold front further north. Development\n    of storms is likely in this region and along the front through the\n    evening.\n\n    Given strong deep layer shear profiles (around 40-50 kts), initial\n    development will likely be supercellular posing a risk for large\n    hail and damaging wind. Through time as the front shifts south and\n    east, tendency will be for upscale growth and a shift to more of a\n    damaging wind threat. A watch will likely be needed to cover this\n    potential.\n\n    ..Thornton/Mosier.. 06/13/2026\n\n    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...\n\n    ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...GID...\n\n    LAT...LON   39969768 39689829 39679851 39729881 39859882 40619831\n                41169688 41549569 41709491 41409489 40489505 40059620\n                39969768\n\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN\n\n\n\nRead more",
  "title": "SPC MD 1125"
}