SPC MD 1058

MD 1058 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 298... FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA Mesoscale Discussion 1058 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0112 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026 Areas affected...Portions of southern and central Minnesota Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 298... Valid 100612Z - 100815Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 298 continues. SUMMARY...Damaging winds, large hail, and a conditional tornado threat will exist with storms moving into central Minnesota tonight. Local extensions of WW 298 and/or a new watch may be needed. DISCUSSION...Storms in southwest Minnesota are expected to continue moving northeastward tonight. Moderate to strong buoyancy and effective shear of 30-35 kt will support a threat for damaging winds and large hail with the strongest storms. The KMPX VAD does show enlarged hodographs. A tornado would be conditionally possible in this environment. That said, the low-level thermodynamic environment is only marginally favorable tonight given the presence of at least modest MLCIN. How far east the strongest activity will reach is also a question as the environment becomes less favorable near the Mississippi River. Local extensions of WW 298 and/or a new watch may be needed as storms develop northeastward. ..Wendt.. 06/10/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD... LAT...LON 43649399 43719474 44139535 44739630 45209588 45849486 45699388 45389348 44949322 44049359 43649399 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more