{
  "$type": "site.standard.document",
  "bskyPostRef": {
    "cid": "bafyreie2ni3ldyzeuwnilvl6tzv6bdg452wsbbpiuo3phouna5f2ppm3ha",
    "uri": "at://did:plc:fkx2xbvcahvjzw7vhooen2bf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mnna3in4smp2"
  },
  "path": "/products/md/md1000.html",
  "publishedAt": "2026-06-06T17:42:02.000Z",
  "site": "https://www.spc.noaa.gov",
  "tags": [
    "Read more"
  ],
  "textContent": "MD 1000 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST TEXAS INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA\n\n\n\n\n    Mesoscale Discussion 1000\n    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK\n    1228 PM CDT Sat Jun 06 2026\n\n    Areas affected...portions of central and northwest Texas into\n    south-central Oklahoma\n\n    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely\n\n    Valid 061728Z - 061900Z\n\n    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent\n\n    SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will pose a risk for isolated\n    damaging downburst winds and large hail through this evening. A\n    brief landspout may also be possible.\n\n    DISCUSSION...A cluster of ongoing thunderstorms west/northwest of\n    Abilene has recently exhibited an uptick in lightning activity, with\n    MRMS and other MESH estimates ranging from 0.5-1\" with a marginal\n    supercell located along the leading edge of this cluster as of 1700\n    UTC. Additional thunderstorm development is expected through the\n    afternoon across portions of central/northwest Texas into southern\n    Oklahoma. Continued diurnal heating of this moist low-level air mass\n    (as sampled by the 12z FWD/OUN observed soundings) is expected to\n    support continued destabilization throughout the afternoon, with\n    1500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE expected by peak heating. While deep-layer\n    flow remains modest at best, marginally stronger\n    southerly/southwesterly flow downstream of a mid-level closed\n    low/MCV located over the Texas Panhandle is contributing to around\n    25-30 (locally up to 35) kts of effective bulk shear, sufficient for\n    marginal updraft organization.\n\n    PWAT values in excess of 1.5-1.6\" (up to 1.9\" sampled by the 12 FWD\n    sounding) and a modest steepening of low-level lapse rates (owing to\n    diurnal heating) will promote the potential for water loaded\n    downbursts, especially with any more organized clusters that can\n    develop. Marginal supercells will also be possible. While generally\n    weak mid-level lapse rates should largely temper the overall hail\n    threat, isolated large hail may accompany the most robust updrafts.\n    Finally, a brief landspout cannot be ruled out should a stronger\n    low-level updraft interact with enhanced surface vertical vorticity\n    along a surface/outflow boundary. Given the expectation for storm\n    organization and severe risk to remain limited in magnitude, watch\n    issuance is unlikely.\n\n    ..Chalmers/Thompson.. 06/06/2026\n\n    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...\n\n    ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...\n\n    LAT...LON   31890113 32570108 33160086 33730052 34140007 34369957\n                34579890 34709786 34559724 34279684 33889660 33469649\n                33079651 32419689 31979749 30969895 30659929 30559962\n                30579997 30760042 31130087 31890113\n\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN\n\n\n\nRead more",
  "title": "SPC MD 1000"
}