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  "path": "/products/md/md0816.html",
  "publishedAt": "2026-05-21T20:38:03.000Z",
  "site": "https://www.spc.noaa.gov",
  "tags": [
    "Read more"
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  "textContent": "MD 0816 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NM INTO ADJACENT WEST TX\n\n\n\n\n    Mesoscale Discussion 0816\n    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK\n    0335 PM CDT Thu May 21 2026\n\n    Areas affected...parts of eastern NM into adjacent west TX\n\n    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely\n\n    Valid 212035Z - 212230Z\n\n    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent\n\n    SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms may develop by late afternoon or\n    early evening.\n\n    DISCUSSION...Cumulus is increasing this afternoon near the higher\n    terrain of east-central NM, and also in the vicinity of a baroclinic\n    zone near the NM/TX border. With only weak to modest large-scale\n    ascent across the region, coverage of storm development may remain\n    relatively isolated. However, steep midlevel lapse rates and\n    moderate buoyancy will conditionally support development of robust\n    updrafts. Effective shear of 20-30 kt is only marginally supportive\n    of organized convection, but organized multicells could eventually\n    develop, and supercell or two cannot be ruled out near the\n    baroclinic zone. Large hail and localized strong to severe gusts\n    could accompany the strongest storms.\n\n    ..Dean/Hart.. 05/21/2026\n\n    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...\n\n    ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...\n\n    LAT...LON   33320483 34560472 35080461 35370426 35250343 35070291\n                34630260 34120258 33350257 32630258 32140295 32060370\n                32270429 32490459 32990479 33320483\n\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN\n\n\n\nRead more",
  "title": "SPC MD 816"
}