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  "path": "/products/md/md0771.html",
  "publishedAt": "2026-05-18T18:30:05.000Z",
  "site": "https://www.spc.noaa.gov",
  "tags": [
    "Read more"
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  "textContent": "MD 0771 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS INTO SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI\n\n\n\n\n    Mesoscale Discussion 0771\n    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK\n    1159 AM CDT Mon May 18 2026\n\n    Areas affected...South-central Kansas into southeast Nebraska and\n    northwest Missouri\n\n    Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely\n\n    Valid 181659Z - 181900Z\n\n    Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent\n\n    SUMMARY...A favorable environment for all severe hazards--including\n    very-large/giant hail and strong to intense tornadoes--will develop\n    through the afternoon. A tornado watch is likely this afternoon.\n\n    DISCUSSION...Cumulus along the cold front in central Kansas as well\n    as near the outflow/front triple point continue to show signs of\n    gradual deepening. Given the upper 60s/low 70s F dewpoints surging\n    northward into central Kansas, MLCIN should continue to erode\n    relatively quickly. Storm initiation could be early/mid afternoon.\n    Outflow from earlier convection is also being modified in northeast\n    Kansas. Here, surface winds will be more backed. The KTWX VAD\n    profile shows strong low-level veering. Deep-layer shear and steep\n    low/mid-level lapse rates will support supercells capable of severe\n    winds, very-large to perhaps giant hail, and tornadoes. The\n    favorable low-level wind fields in place suggests strong to intense\n    tornadoes are possible. The areas of greatest concern for this\n    activity will be storms forming near the triple point and moving\n    northeast along the quasi-stationary/warm front. There is also\n    potential for a supercell or two to develop along the modifying\n    outflow boundary. A longer-track tornado is certainly possible if\n    storms can maintain a discrete mode. With time, however, there is\n    the expectation for upscale growth into an MCS where severe winds\n    would become a greater concern.\n\n    ..Wendt/Hart.. 05/18/2026\n\n    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...\n\n    ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...\n\n    LAT...LON   37509764 37559817 37919865 38349881 38689867 39609784\n                39769764 40089644 40299547 40079515 39459540 38189641\n                37509764\n\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...140-170 MPH\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...4.00+ IN\n\n\n\nRead more",
  "title": "SPC MD 771"
}