SPC MD 756

MD 0756 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/NORTHERN GEORGIA Mesoscale Discussion 0756 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0401 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 Areas affected...portions of central/northern Georgia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 172101Z - 172300Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Widely scattered thunderstorms will continue to pose some risk for isolated strong to damaging wind gusts and marginally severe hail for another couple of hours. Watch issuance is not expected. DISCUSSION...Latest regional radar imagery depicts ongoing pulse thunderstorms across portions of central/northern Georgia, with temperatures in the mid/upper 80s and low/mid 60s F dewpoints contributing to 1500-2000+ J/kg MLCAPE across the discussion area (per latest mesoanalysis and recent ATL ACARS profiles). Weak mid-level flow (evident in regional VWPs) and resultant weak effective shear within this moderately unstable environment are favoring pulse convection across the region. While buoyancy and PWAT values are more limited across northern Georgia compared to areas farther south, steep low-level lapse rates (8+ C/km) and PWAT values of 1.3-1.5 inches may support some potential for isolated strong/damaging wind gusts (likely in the 40-50 mph range) and small to marginally severe hail for another couple of hours. This severe potential is forecast to remain limited in coverage and magnitude. Convective activity is then expected to decrease with time this evening owing to low-level nocturnal cooling/stabilization. ..Chalmers/Smith.. 05/17/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC... LAT...LON 32548383 33088468 33798513 34398532 34848515 35028479 35048427 34828372 34428331 33828297 33108289 32858292 32638310 32528340 32548383 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more