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  "path": "/products/md/md0738.html",
  "publishedAt": "2026-05-16T22:37:02.000Z",
  "site": "https://www.spc.noaa.gov",
  "tags": [
    "Read more"
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  "textContent": "MD 0738 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL INTO SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KANSAS\n\n\n\n\n    Mesoscale Discussion 0738\n    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK\n    0442 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026\n\n    Areas affected...much of central into southeast Nebraska and\n    northern Kansas\n\n    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely\n\n    Valid 162142Z - 170015Z\n\n    Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent\n\n    SUMMARY...Storms are expected to become more numerous through this\n    evening, with areas of damaging hail and wind expected.\n\n    DISCUSSION...A quasi-stationary front extends from southern IA\n    across southern NE and into northeast KS, with scattered convection\n    along the length of it. Surface winds are easterly within this zone,\n    with 35-40 kt midlevel southwest flow aloft. The result is around 50\n    kt deep layer shear.\n\n    Meanwhile, daytime heating as well as moisture advection/boundary\n    layer deepening has led to moderate instability. Forecast soundings\n    still show steep lapse rates aloft despite subtle height rises, and\n    this should foster a few storms with very large hail. A damaging\n    wind threat may develop over time as storms ride along the boundary.\n\n    Storms may form into northeast KS which is south of the boundary.\n    Here, visible imagery shows substantial CU developing with the moist\n    axis where dewpoints are in the mid 60s F. The modified 18Z TOP\n    soundings shows an uncapped air mass. Shear is not as strong with\n    southward extend, but sufficient for at least short-lived severe\n    hail or wind.\n\n    ..Jewell/Smith.. 05/16/2026\n\n    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...\n\n    ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...GID...LBF...GLD...\n\n    LAT...LON   40699572 40229559 39699562 39259581 39139633 39139707\n                39239787 39499882 39589959 40009964 39990017 40330018\n                40479999 40709999 40700024 41760023 41699754 41549629\n                41049589 40699572\n\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN\n\n\n\nRead more",
  "title": "SPC MD 738"
}