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  "path": "/products/md/md0735.html",
  "publishedAt": "2026-05-16T20:21:02.000Z",
  "site": "https://www.spc.noaa.gov",
  "tags": [
    "Read more"
  ],
  "textContent": "MD 0735 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND INDIANA...MUCH OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN KENTUCKY\n\n\n\n\n    Mesoscale Discussion 0735\n    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK\n    0213 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026\n\n    Areas affected...Southern portions of Illinois and Indiana...much of\n    central and western Kentucky\n\n    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible\n\n    Valid 161913Z - 162115Z\n\n    Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent\n\n    SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage this\n    afternoon, with scattered severe storms expected capable of damaging\n    wind gusts, large hail, and possibly a tornado. A watch is possible\n    and convective trends are being monitored.\n\n    DISCUSSION...An MCV was located over southern IL at 19z, and this\n    feature is expected to continue moving east across the discussion\n    area this afternoon.  A remnant outflow boundary extended east-west\n    from far southern IL into northern KY and southern IN. Isolated\n    thunderstorm development was noted over far southern IL, and\n    deepening cumulus clouds were noted in the vicinity of the Ohio\n    River as heating/reduction of CINH takes place.\n\n    Despite areas of cloud cover, filtered heating will contribute to\n    moderate MLCAPE with values of 1500 to locally in excess of 2000\n    J/kg expected.  Slightly stronger mid-level flow east of the MCV\n    will contribute to 30-40 kts of southwesterly deep-layer shear,\n    supportive of organized storms including supercells. Thunderstorms\n    should continue to develop/increase in coverage over the next few\n    hours, with a risk for damaging gusts and large hail.  With time,\n    small linear/bowing segments may develop, along with more focused\n    wind damage potential.\n\n    The potential for a tornado is non zero, and will exist primarily\n    with any more discrete storm in the vicinity of the weakening\n    outflow boundary where low-level SRH will be locally maximized.\n\n    Convective trends are being monitored, and watch issuance is\n    possible by 20-21z.\n\n    ..Bunting/Mosier.. 05/16/2026\n\n    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...\n\n    ATTN...WFO...JKL...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...\n\n    LAT...LON   38558900 38828811 38778618 38798458 38598378 38088341\n                37478372 37178468 37128531 37128589 37128630 37098682\n                37058718 36898761 36938791 37068837 37518919 38078939\n                38558900\n\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN\n\n\n\nRead more",
  "title": "SPC MD 735"
}