SPC MD 652

MD 0652 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR THE EDWARDS PLATEAU Mesoscale Discussion 0652 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0819 AM CDT Wed May 06 2026 Areas affected...The Edwards Plateau Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 061319Z - 061415Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...A cluster of supercells will pose a large hail and wind damage threat for the next couple of hours. A small severe thunderstorm watch is possible. DISCUSSION...Convection developed earlier this morning along a surface front across the Edwards Plateau, and the storms have shown supercell structures. The 12z DRT sounding revealed strong buoyancy immediately south-southwest of these storms, and the storms may continue eastward along the immediate cool side of the front for the next couple of hours before weakening by mid-late morning. In the interim, the storms will remain capable of producing occasional large hail (1-2 inches in diameter) and severe outflow gusts (60-70 mph). The need for a small severe thunderstorm watch is being discussed with the central TX NWS offices. ..Thompson/Smith.. 05/06/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT... LAT...LON 30509786 30269829 30219926 30269976 30559988 30809965 30919912 30969853 31029816 30929793 30509786 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more