SPC MD 524

MD 0524 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO NORTHWEST LOUISIANA Mesoscale Discussion 0524 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026 Areas affected...much of northeast Texas into northwest Louisiana Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 250109Z - 250315Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...A corridor of severe wind and hail potential should persist into northeast Texas and parts of northwest Louisiana this evening. DISCUSSION...A robust complex of storms is moving out of southeast OK and into northeast TX, with a particularly large cell on the southwest flank over Lamar County TX. This cell has an impressive satellite presentation, with large overshooting tops. 00Z soundings indicate strong instability remains in place, beneath the westerly flow regime aloft. While the outflow boundary continues to push southwestward, reducing SBCAPE, it may eventually slow as the storm complex propagates south/southeast. This should leave a corridor of wind damage potential, with large hail possible as well due to lengthy mid/upper hodographs. A brief tornado cannot be ruled out if the outflow boundary slows later this evening. ..Jewell/Leitman.. 04/25/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD... LAT...LON 33519595 33719573 34069507 34109477 34029437 33689398 33209369 32739322 32289293 31869297 31559330 31489394 31509474 31819550 32649591 33519595 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more