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"path": "/products/md/md0462.html",
"publishedAt": "2026-04-16T16:26:02.000Z",
"site": "https://www.spc.noaa.gov",
"tags": [
"Read more"
],
"textContent": "MD 0462 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR SOUTHERN MISSOURI...NORTHERN ARKANSAS...PORTIONS OF WESTERN TENNESSEE/KENTUCKY\n\n\n\n\n Mesoscale Discussion 0462\n NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK\n 1111 AM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026\n\n Areas affected...southern Missouri...northern Arkansas...portions of\n western Tennessee/Kentucky\n\n Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely\n\n Valid 161611Z - 161745Z\n\n Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent\n\n SUMMARY...Severe risk to increase through the early afternoon.\n Primary risks will include large hail and damaging wind.\n\n DISCUSSION...Visible satellite across southern Missouri shows an\n area of deepening cu development, with a few smaller cells with\n occasional lightning developing east of Springfield. The 12z RAOB\n from SGF (Springfield, MO) shows MLCIN in place, which can still be\n observed in surface objective analysis. With additional\n heating/mixing and cooling aloft with the approaching shortwave,\n this is expected to erode over the next couple of hours.\n\n HREF guidance suggests that a cluster of thunderstorms may develop\n by early afternoon before moving south and eastward into northern\n Arkansas as forcing for ascent increases. Forecast soundings depict\n linearly elongated hodographs and steep low to mid-level hodographs,\n favorable for supercells capable of large hail. Through time, it is\n likely that storms will cluster with an increase in damaging wind\n potential. Additional thunderstorms will be possible near the OK/AR\n border this afternoon. A watch will likely be needed to cover these\n threats.\n\n ..Thornton/Mosier.. 04/16/2026\n\n ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...\n\n ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...\n\n LAT...LON 35679001 35269132 34989266 35009340 35079404 35239437\n 35589446 36039459 36599456 37359301 37349293 37459249\n 37499175 37499137 37139014 36728949 36018957 35679001\n\n MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH\n MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH\n MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN\n\n\n\nRead more",
"title": "SPC MD 462"
}